The 2021 Melbourne Cup Winner By The Numbers

Melbourne Cup Winners

Races like the Melbourne Cup have a long and fabled history which have produced a litany of facts and figures that can help us find the 2021 Melbourne Cup winner. Our experts have already given you their Melbourne Cup best bets and produced our indepth 2021 Melbourne Cup runner by runner race preview, so without distracting from their sound logic, we’re going to find you the 2021 Melbourne Cup winner by applying the Melbourne Cup statistics of all previous winners.

Lets start with the 2021 Melbourne Cup field and whittle it down horse by horse.

2021 Melbourne Cup Field

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
1 Twilight Payment Melbourne Cup 2021 Twilight Payment Joseph O’Brien Jye McNeil 2 58kg $11
2 Incentivise Melbourne Cup 2021 Incentivise Peter Moody Brett Prebble 16 57kg $2.50
3 Spanish Mission Melbourne Cup 2021 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9
4 Verry Elleegant Melbourne Cup 2021 Verry Elleegant Chris Waller James McDonald 19 57kg $15
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
6 The Chose One Melbourne Cup 2021 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Damian Lane 5 54kg $61
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $19
9 Selino Melbourne Cup 2021 Selino Chris Waller Ron Stewart 24 53.5kg $151
10 Johnny Get Angry Melbourne Cup 2021 Johnny Get Angry Denis Pagan Lachlan King 22 53kg $101
11 Knights Order Melbourne Cup 2021 Knights Order G Waterhouse & A Bott Daniel Stackhouse 9 53kg $201
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
13 Carif Melbourne Cup 2021 Carif P & P Snowden Blaike McDougall 8 52.5kg $201
14 Master Of Wine Melbourne Cup 2021 Master Of Wine Team Hawkes Fred Kersley 6 52.5kg $101
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $41
16 Grand Promenade Melbourne Cup 2021 Grand Promenade C Maher & D Eustace Kerrin McEvoy 21 52kg $21
17 Miami Bound Melbourne Cup 2021 Miami Bound Danny O’Brien Patrick Moloney 17 52kg $151
18 Port Guillaume Melbourne Cup 2021 Port Guillaume Ben & JD Hayes Harry Coffey 23 52kg $151
19 She's Ideel Melbourne Cup 2021 She’s Ideel Bjorn Baker Craig Newitt 20 52kg $101
20 Future Score Melbourne Cup 2021 Future Score Matt Cumani Dean Yendall 15 51.5kg SCR
21 Tralee Rose Melbourne Cup 2021 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Holland 12 51kg $17
22 Floating Artist Melbourne Cup 2021 Floating Artist C Maher & D Eustace Teo Nugent 10 50kg $18
23 Great House Melbourne Cup 2021 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31
24 Sir Lucan Melbourne Cup 2021 Sir Lucan G Waterhouse & A Bott Glen Boss 18 50kg $26

Melbourne Cup Winners By Age

No nine year old horse has ever won the Melbourne Cup. That’s bad news for Twilight Payment who having won the race as an eight year old, is seeking to join the greats like Makybe Diva, Rain Lover, Archer and Think Big by winning the Melbourne Cup in successive years as a nine year old. The stats say that won’t happen so he comes out of the field.

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
2 Incentivise Melbourne Cup 2021 Incentivise Peter Moody Brett Prebble 16 57kg $2.50
3 Spanish Mission Melbourne Cup 2021 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9
4 Verry Elleegant Melbourne Cup 2021 Verry Elleegant Chris Waller James McDonald 19 57kg $15
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
6 The Chose One Melbourne Cup 2021 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Damian Lane 5 54kg $61
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $19
9 Selino Melbourne Cup 2021 Selino Chris Waller Ron Stewart 24 53.5kg $151
10 Johnny Get Angry Melbourne Cup 2021 Johnny Get Angry Denis Pagan Lachlan King 22 53kg $101
11 Knights Order Melbourne Cup 2021 Knights Order G Waterhouse & A Bott Daniel Stackhouse 9 53kg $201
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
13 Carif Melbourne Cup 2021 Carif P & P Snowden Blaike McDougall 8 52.5kg $201
14 Master Of Wine Melbourne Cup 2021 Master Of Wine Team Hawkes Fred Kersley 6 52.5kg $101
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21
16 Grand Promenade Melbourne Cup 2021 Grand Promenade C Maher & D Eustace Kerrin McEvoy 21 52kg $21
17 Miami Bound Melbourne Cup 2021 Miami Bound Danny O’Brien Patrick Moloney 17 52kg $151
18 Port Guillaume Melbourne Cup 2021 Port Guillaume Ben & JD Hayes Harry Coffey 23 52kg $151
19 She's Ideel Melbourne Cup 2021 She’s Ideel Bjorn Baker Craig Newitt 20 52kg $101
20 Future Score Melbourne Cup 2021 Future Score Matt Cumani Dean Yendall 15 51.5kg SCR
21 Tralee Rose Melbourne Cup 2021 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Holland 12 51kg $17
22 Floating Artist Melbourne Cup 2021 Floating Artist C Maher & D Eustace Teo Nugent 10 50kg $18
23 Great House Melbourne Cup 2021 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31
24 Sir Lucan Melbourne Cup 2021 Sir Lucan G Waterhouse & A Bott Glen Boss 18 50kg $26

Melbourne Cup Winners By Name Starting Letter

The most popular starting letter of Melbourne Cup horse names has been “T” with 17 wins in the race. Next best is the letter “P” with 14 wins, but the important stat is that the letters “I”, “Q”, “U”, “X” and “Y” have never won the cup. That’s bad news for 2021 Melbourne Cup favourite Incentivise as the stats say “I” horse names never win – out he comes. The letters “O” and “Z” have won just the one Melbourne Cup each so we can safely exclude those as well and say goodbye to Ocean Billy.

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
3 Spanish Mission Melbourne Cup 2021 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9
4 Verry Elleegant Melbourne Cup 2021 Verry Elleegant Chris Waller James McDonald 19 57kg $15
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
6 The Chose One Melbourne Cup 2021 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Damian Lane 5 54kg $61
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $19
9 Selino Melbourne Cup 2021 Selino Chris Waller Ron Stewart 24 53.5kg $151
10 Johnny Get Angry Melbourne Cup 2021 Johnny Get Angry Denis Pagan Lachlan King 22 53kg $101
11 Knights Order Melbourne Cup 2021 Knights Order G Waterhouse & A Bott Daniel Stackhouse 9 53kg $201
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
13 Carif Melbourne Cup 2021 Carif P & P Snowden Blaike McDougall 8 52.5kg $201
14 Master Of Wine Melbourne Cup 2021 Master Of Wine Team Hawkes Fred Kersley 6 52.5kg $101
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21
16 Grand Promenade Melbourne Cup 2021 Grand Promenade C Maher & D Eustace Kerrin McEvoy 21 52kg $21
17 Miami Bound Melbourne Cup 2021 Miami Bound Danny O’Brien Patrick Moloney 17 52kg $151
18 Port Guillaume Melbourne Cup 2021 Port Guillaume Ben & JD Hayes Harry Coffey 23 52kg $151
19 She's Ideel Melbourne Cup 2021 She’s Ideel Bjorn Baker Craig Newitt 20 52kg $101
20 Future Score Melbourne Cup 2021 Future Score Matt Cumani Dean Yendall 15 51.5kg SCR
21 Tralee Rose Melbourne Cup 2021 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Holland 12 51kg $17
22 Floating Artist Melbourne Cup 2021 Floating Artist C Maher & D Eustace Teo Nugent 10 50kg $18
23 Great House Melbourne Cup 2021 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31
24 Sir Lucan Melbourne Cup 2021 Sir Lucan G Waterhouse & A Bott Glen Boss 18 50kg $26

Cup Winners By Barrier

The most winners of the great race have started from barrier 11 but no horse has ever won the cup from barrier 18. Sir Lucan was unlucky enough to draw barrier 18 and the stats say that it can’t win – he comes out.

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
3 Spanish Mission Melbourne Cup 2021 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9
4 Verry Elleegant Melbourne Cup 2021 Verry Elleegant Chris Waller James McDonald 19 57kg $15
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
6 The Chose One Melbourne Cup 2021 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Damian Lane 5 54kg $61
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $19
9 Selino Melbourne Cup 2021 Selino Chris Waller Ron Stewart 24 53.5kg $151
10 Johnny Get Angry Melbourne Cup 2021 Johnny Get Angry Denis Pagan Lachlan King 22 53kg $101
11 Knights Order Melbourne Cup 2021 Knights Order G Waterhouse & A Bott Daniel Stackhouse 9 53kg $201
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
13 Carif Melbourne Cup 2021 Carif P & P Snowden Blaike McDougall 8 52.5kg $201
14 Master Of Wine Melbourne Cup 2021 Master Of Wine Team Hawkes Fred Kersley 6 52.5kg $101
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21
16 Grand Promenade Melbourne Cup 2021 Grand Promenade C Maher & D Eustace Kerrin McEvoy 21 52kg $21
17 Miami Bound Melbourne Cup 2021 Miami Bound Danny O’Brien Patrick Moloney 17 52kg $151
18 Port Guillaume Melbourne Cup 2021 Port Guillaume Ben & JD Hayes Harry Coffey 23 52kg $151
19 She's Ideel Melbourne Cup 2021 She’s Ideel Bjorn Baker Craig Newitt 20 52kg $101
20 Future Score Melbourne Cup 2021 Future Score Matt Cumani Dean Yendall 15 51.5kg SCR
21 Tralee Rose Melbourne Cup 2021 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Holland 12 51kg $17
22 Floating Artist Melbourne Cup 2021 Floating Artist C Maher & D Eustace Teo Nugent 10 50kg $18
23 Great House Melbourne Cup 2021 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31

Cup Winners By Horse Colour

Bay coloured horses have won twice as many Melbourne Cups as any other colour of horse. The worst colour of Melbourne Cup horses are Grey, Bay or Brown, Black or Brown, and Black. All combined those coloured horses have won just 15 cups. History says we can safely remove Knight’s Order (Bay or Brown), Future Score (Black), and Floating Artist (Bay or Brown).

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
3 Spanish Mission Melbourne Cup 2021 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9
4 Verry Elleegant Melbourne Cup 2021 Verry Elleegant Chris Waller James McDonald 19 57kg $15
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
6 The Chosen One Melbourne Cup 2021 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Damian Lane 5 54kg $61
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $19
9 Selino Melbourne Cup 2021 Selino Chris Waller Ron Stewart 24 53.5kg $151
10 Johnny Get Angry Melbourne Cup 2021 Johnny Get Angry Denis Pagan Lachlan King 22 53kg $101
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
13 Carif Melbourne Cup 2021 Carif P & P Snowden Blaike McDougall 8 52.5kg $201
14 Master Of Wine Melbourne Cup 2021 Master Of Wine Team Hawkes Fred Kersley 6 52.5kg $101
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21
16 Grand Promenade Melbourne Cup 2021 Grand Promenade C Maher & D Eustace Kerrin McEvoy 21 52kg $21
17 Miami Bound Melbourne Cup 2021 Miami Bound Danny O’Brien Patrick Moloney 17 52kg $151
18 Port Guillaume Melbourne Cup 2021 Port Guillaume Ben & JD Hayes Harry Coffey 23 52kg $151
19 She's Ideel Melbourne Cup 2021 She’s Ideel Bjorn Baker Craig Newitt 20 52kg $101
21 Tralee Rose Melbourne Cup 2021 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Holland 12 51kg $17
23 Great House Melbourne Cup 2021 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31

The Cup Winners By Sex Of Horse

In the age of equality it will shock many to know that the males dominate the Melbourne Cup winners lists. Just 15 Melbourne Cup winners of the race have been Mares or Fillies – and three of those wins were all down just one mare – the great Makybe Diva. There is nothing of her quality in the 2021 field so we can safely pen Verry Elleegant (Mare), Miami Bound (Mare), She’s Ideel (Mare) and Tralee Rose(Mare). Out they come.

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
3 Spanish Mission Melbourne Cup 2021 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
6 The Chosen One Melbourne Cup 2021 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Damian Lane 5 54kg $61
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $19
9 Selino Melbourne Cup 2021 Selino Chris Waller Ron Stewart 24 53.5kg $151
10 Johnny Get Angry Melbourne Cup 2021 Johnny Get Angry Denis Pagan Lachlan King 22 53kg $101
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
13 Carif Melbourne Cup 2021 Carif P & P Snowden Blaike McDougall 8 52.5kg $201
14 Master Of Wine Melbourne Cup 2021 Master Of Wine Team Hawkes Fred Kersley 6 52.5kg $101
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21
16 Grand Promenade Melbourne Cup 2021 Grand Promenade C Maher & D Eustace Kerrin McEvoy 21 52kg $21
18 Port Guillaume Melbourne Cup 2021 Port Guillaume Ben & JD Hayes Harry Coffey 23 52kg $151
23 Great House Melbourne Cup 2021 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31

Melbourne Cup Roughies

In the long history of the race there have been only four winners who started $101 (100/1) or longer on race day. It is fair to say we can remove all horses priced $101 or longer from the field to narrow down our winner by the numbers. We can safely remove Selino ($151), Johnny Get Angry ($101), Carif ($201), Master Of Wine ($101) and Port Guillame ($151).

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
3 Spanish Mission Melbourne Cup 2021 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
6 The Chosen One Melbourne Cup 2021 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Damian Lane 5 54kg $61
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $19
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21
16 Grand Promenade Melbourne Cup 2021 Grand Promenade C Maher & D Eustace Kerrin McEvoy 21 52kg $21
23 Great House Melbourne Cup 2021 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31

Melbourne Cup Winners By Saddlecloth Number

The least successful saddlecloth numbers carried by horses to win the cup are 16, 18, 20, and 21 with just 11 combined wins. Most of those horses we have already excluded so that just leaves Grand Promenade (16) to come out of the race.

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
3 Spanish Mission Melbourne Cup 2021 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
6 The Chosen One Melbourne Cup 2021 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Damian Lane 5 54kg $61
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $19
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21
23 Great House Melbourne Cup 2021 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31

Cup Winners By How Many Words In Name

We’ve whittled down our list of potential cup winners from the full field of 24 horses to just six potential winners. In the history of the cup there have been just 7 winners to have crossed the line having three words in their name. That’s bad news for The Chosen One – out he comes.

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
3 Spanish Mission Melbourne Cup 2021 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $19
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21
23 Great House Melbourne Cup 2021 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31

Melbourne Cup Winners By Weight Carried

The modern Melbourne Cup has changed significantly from what it was in the early years, and so too have the weights the horses are allotted in the race. In the past 20 years no single winner of the race has carried less than 51kgs, and only the great Makybe Diva (58kgs) has carried more than 56.5kgs to victory. That stat tells us that neither Spanish Mission (57kgs) nor Great House (50kgs) can win the race. Out they go.

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $19
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21

Melbourne Cup Winners By Odds

With just four horses left in the running as our potential 2021 Melbourne Cup winner we’ll take a look at the odds of each runner and history of runners at. that price. Horses priced $26 have won seven cups, those priced $21 have won six cups; and those priced $51 have won three cups. Unfortunately for Delphi horses priced $19 have won just the one race – out it goes.

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21

Melbourne Cup Winners By Jockey Silks Colours

The jockeys silks colours of Navy Blue and Royal Blue have been the most successful colours carried to victory with 21 Melbourne Cup wins. 18 cup winning jockeys have worn black as their main colour. Of the three horses left in our field both Persan and Pondus fit the criteria for jockeys colours, while Explosive Jack has to be excluded as the main colour is white. Explosive Jack is out.

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $26
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $21

2021 Melbourne Cup Winner By The Numbers

After that exhaustive process we have left ourselves with just the two potential candidates. Both have single word names which are the most successful horse names to have. Both start with the letter “P” which is the second most successful letter.

Persan

Persan silks

Persan

T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace
J: Luke Currie
  • Age: 5YO
  • Color: Brown
  • Sex: Gelding
  • Sire: Pierro
  • Dam: Ofcourseican

Win: $26.00

Place: $7.50

Best odds at Sportsbet


Career stats for Persan

  • Career: 27: 7-5-3
  • Flemington: 10: 4-1-1
  • Distance: 1: 0-0-0
  • Wet: 11: 4-1-1
  • Good: 16: 3-4-2
  • Group 1: 5: 0-0-1
  • Win %: 26%
  • Place %: 56%

Melbourne Cup Results for Persan

Melbourne Cup Results
Year No. Result Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
2020 24 Persan finishes 5th of 23 Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Michael Dee 19 51kg $41

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Pondus

Pondus silks

Pondus

T: Robert Hickmott
J: Rachel King
  • Age: 6YO
  • Color: Bay
  • Sex: Gelding
  • Sire: Sea The Moon
  • Dam: Diablerette

Win: $21.00

Place: $5.50

Best odds at Ladbrokes


Career stats for Pondus

  • Career: 19: 3-7-1
  • Flemington: 2: 0-1-0
  • Distance: 0: 0-0-0
  • Wet: 10: 2-3-0
  • Good: 9: 1-4-1
  • Group 1: 1: 0-0-0
  • Win %: 16%
  • Place %: 58%

Melbourne Cup results for Pondus

The 2021 Melbourne Cup will be Pondus’ first start in the great race.


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There are a few differentiators though between the two horses:

  • Persan is a Brown Gelding while Pondus is a Bay Gelding. We know Bays are more successful than Browns in the big race winning 73 cups versus 37.
  • Additionally we now know that horses carrying jockeys wearing Navy Blue (Pondus) have won 23 cups while Persan’s black coloured silks have won 18 races.
  • That apparent advantage to Pondus is cancelled out though when we consider that Persan is five years of age versus Pondus who is six years of age. Five year olds have a slight advantage of six year olds having won 44 cups to 32.
  • Persan also gets an advantage from the barrier draw having drawn the most successful gate of 11 while Pondus has to contend with barrier one which has won just the one cup.
  • Persan gets a very small advantage based on the odds with horses priced $26 winning seven cups and horses priced $21 winning six Melbourne Cups.
  • Persan (53kgs) also gets a fractional advantage looking at the history of the weights with horses carrying 53kgs having won seven Melbourne Cups while Pondus will carry 52.5kgs which have won six cups.

The Melbourne Cup By The Numbers Winner

Having reached our final two horses we find the small advantages in either direction for each horse are too small to decide conclusively. In the 2021 Melbourne Cup we recommend you back both Persan and Pondus knowing you have the weight of numbers and Melbourne Cup history on your side and riding with you.

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