What age is best for Melbourne Cup winners?

The 2021 Melbourne Cup will jump at 3pm AEDT on Tuesday, November 2 at Flemington Racecourse. This year’s race has drawn a bumper field and promises to be one of the toughest to tip in recent years.

Most common age Melbourne Cup winners

Several factors come in to play when picking a horse at Melbourne Cup betting sites, including the weights, the barrier draw and the lead-up races. Another key point to consider is the age of the runners – in particular, which age range has produced the most winners over the past 161 years of Melbourne Cup racing.

Melbourne Cup winners by age

Three-year-olds 23 Wins
Four-year-olds 46 Wins
Five-year-olds 44 Wins
Six-year-olds 32 Wins
Seven-year-olds 11 Wins
Eight-year-olds 3 Wins

The table above clearly demonstrates that some horses are better candidates than others in the Melbourne Cup betting depending on their age. More than half of all Melbourne Cup winners have been either four-year-old or five-year-old horses, with 90 wins combined from 159 runnings to date.

At the other end of the spectrum, horses aged seven or older have won the great race only 14 times in total. In this century, only Makybe Diva (2005) and Almandin (2016) have won the race as seven-year-olds. The last eight-year-old winner of the Melbourne Cup was Twilight Payment in last years running of the cup, and he is attempting to be the only nine-year-old to win the cup in 2021.

However, it is worth noting an interesting recent trend. Three of the past four winners were four-year-old horses Vow And Declare (2019), Cross Counter (2018), Rekindling (2017).

2021 Melbourne Cup Field

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
1 Twilight Payment Melbourne Cup 2021 Twilight Payment Joseph O’Brien Jye McNeil 2 58kg $11
2 Incentivise Melbourne Cup 2021 Incentivise Peter Moody Brett Prebble 16 57kg $2.50
3 Spanish Mission Melbourne Cup 2021 Spanish Mission Andrew Balding Craig Williams 14 57kg $9
4 Verry Elleegant Melbourne Cup 2021 Verry Elleegant Chris Waller James McDonald 19 57kg $15
5 Explosive Jack Melbourne Cup 2021 Explosive Jack C Maher & D Eustace John Allen 4 54kg $51
6 The Chose One Melbourne Cup 2021 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Damian Lane 5 54kg $61
7 Delphi Melbourne Cup 2021 Delphi A & S Freedman Damien Oliver 3 53.5kg $41
8 Ocean Billy Melbourne Cup 2021 Ocean Billy Chris Waller Damian Thornton 13 53.5kg $101
9 Selino Melbourne Cup 2021 Selino Chris Waller Ron Stewart 24 53.5kg $151
10 Johnny Get Angry Melbourne Cup 2021 Johnny Get Angry Denis Pagan Lachlan King 22 53kg $101
11 Knights Order Melbourne Cup 2021 Knights Order G Waterhouse & A Bott Daniel Stackhouse 9 53kg $201
12 Persan Melbourne Cup 2020 Persan C Maher & D Eustace Luke Currie 11 53kg $31
13 Carif Melbourne Cup 2021 Carif P & P Snowden Blaike McDougall 8 52.5kg $201
14 Master Of Wine Melbourne Cup 2021 Master Of Wine Team Hawkes Fred Kersley 6 52.5kg $101
15 Pondus Melbourne Cup 2020 Pondus Robert Hickmott Rachel King 1 52.5kg $41
16 Grand Promenade Melbourne Cup 2021 Grand Promenade C Maher & D Eustace Kerrin McEvoy 21 52kg $21
17 Miami Bound Melbourne Cup 2021 Miami Bound Danny O’Brien Patrick Moloney 17 52kg $151
18 Port Guillaume Melbourne Cup 2021 Port Guillaume Ben & JD Hayes Harry Coffey 23 52kg $151
19 She's Ideel Melbourne Cup 2021 She’s Ideel Bjorn Baker Craig Newitt 20 52kg $101
20 Future Score Melbourne Cup 2021 Future Score Matt Cumani Dean Yendall 15 51.5kg $301
21 Tralee Rose Melbourne Cup 2021 Tralee Rose Symon Wilde Dean Holland 12 51kg $17
22 Floating Artist Melbourne Cup 2021 Floating Artist C Maher & D Eustace Teo Nugent 10 50kg $18
23 Great House Melbourne Cup 2021 Great House Chris Waller Michael Dee 7 50kg $31
24 Sir Lucan Melbourne Cup 2021 Sir Lucan G Waterhouse & A Bott Glen Boss 18 50kg $26

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1 year ago

Article about age of winners; table below showing runners without age. :/