Melbourne Cup day tips, form and odds for Flemington, November 7

Melbourne Cup tips

MELBOURNE Cup day is the greatest day in Australian turf and we have free racing tips, form and updated odds for all 10 races on the card at Flemington, including the $6 million 2017 Melbourne Cup.

24 of the world’s best stayers will run over two miles at Flemington with the big question being if the local thoroughbreds can hold off the European charge. Either way, it’s going to be another incredible edition of the Cup.

What’s fun about Melbourne Cup day is that all levels of punters like to get involved – from the serious to the beginner punters, which makes for incredible day on the punt.

Whether you’re running a Melbourne Cup sweep or looking for the history of the race, we have it covered and hopefully we’ll guide you to a winner or three this Tuesday.

Sign up to Neds.com.au for not only a chance at $1 million, but also a Race 1 refund this Tuesday.

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Race 7 – Melbourne Cup (3200m)

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
1 Hartnell Melbourne Cup 2017 Hartnell James Cummings Damian Lane 12 57.5kg $31
2 Almandin Melbourne Cup 2017 Almandin Robert Hickmott Frankie Dettori 14 56.5kg $9
3 Humidor Melbourne Cup 2017 Humidor Darren Weir Blake Shinn 13 56kg $11
4 Tiberian Melbourne Cup 2017 Tiberian Alain Couetil Oliver Peslier 23 55.5kg $26
5 Marmelo Melbourne Cup 2017 Marmelo Hughie Morrison Hugh Bowman 16 55kg $8.50
6 Red Cardinal Melbourne Cup 2017 Red Cardinal Andreas Wohler Kerrin McEvoy 24 55kg $18
7 Johannes Vermeer Melbourne Cup 2017 Johannes Vermeer Aiden O’Brien Ben Melham 3 54.5kg $9.50
8 Bondi Beach Melbourne Cup 2017 Bondi Beach Robert Hickmott Michael Walker 1 54kg $67
9 Max Dynamite Melbourne Cup 2017 Max Dynamite William Mullins Zac Purton 2 54kg $14
10 Ventura Storm Melbourne Cup 2017 Ventura Storm David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig Glen Boss 6 54kg $34
11 Who Shot Thebarman Melbourne Cup 2017 Who Shot Thebarman Chris Waller Tommy Berry 20 54kg SCR
12 Wicklow Brave Melbourne Cup 2017 Wicklow Brave William Mullins Stephen Baster 8 54kg $67
13 Big Duke Melbourne Cup 2017 Big Duke Darren Weir Brenton Avdulla 5 53.5kg $19
14 US Army Ranger Melbourne Cup 2017 US Army Ranger Joseph O’Brien Jamie Spencer 22 53.5kg $67
15 Boom Time Melbourne Cup 2017 Boom Time David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig Cory Parish 9 53kg $34
16 Gallante Melbourne Cup 2017 Gallante Robert Hickmott Michael Dee 18 53kg $91
17 Libran Melbourne Cup 2017 Libran Chris Waller Dwayne Dunn 7 53kg $41
18 Nakeeta Melbourne Cup 2017 Nakeeta Iain Jardine Glyn Schofield 19 53kg $41
19 Single Gaze Melbourne Cup 2017 Single Gaze Nick Olive Kathy O’Hara 11 53kg $41
20 Wall of Fire Melbourne Cup 2017 Wall Of Fire Hugo Palmer Craig Williams 15 53kg $11
21 Thomas Hobson Melbourne Cup 2017 Thomas Hobson William Mullins Joao Moreira 21 52kg $19
22 Rekindling Melbourne Cup 2017 Rekindling Joseph O’Brien Corey Brown 4 51.5kg $12
23 Amelie's Star Melbourne Cup 2017 Amelie’s Star Darren Weir Dean Yendall 10 51kg $21
24 Cismonntane Melbourne Cup 2017 Cismontane Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Beau Mertens 17 50kg $67

The field of 24 are going to find it tough to beat last year’s winner Almandin. The Robert Hickmott-trained champion was a gutsy winner of the race last year, but it has improved significantly since. The eight-year-old’s win in the JRA Trophy was that of a horse still progressing and it carried 61kg to victory on that occasion. Some punters are hesitant about backing Almandin due to his last start performance for fourth in the Bart Cummings, but it needed the run to prepare for the Cup and we’re supremely confident about his chances at $8.

Johannes Vermeer is the obvious danger and having experience in Australia is a big plus. The Aidan O’Brien-trained five-year-old entered Australia with good European form and his performance for second in the Caulfield Stakes behind Gailo Chop was pure class. That form continued through to the Caulfield Cup where it was held up at a crucial stop at the top of the straight. Credibly, the son of Galileo got back into its work and hit the line well behind Boom Time. His odds have firmed from $13 to $9.50 and that’s a significant push.

Melbourne Cup tip: Almandin to win ($8) at Neds.com.au

Race 1 – Emirates A380 Stakes (1000m)

Qafila was an impressive winner of the Debutante Stakes at Caulfield and it looks to be going places. The Lindsay Park-trained two-year-old was well-backed into $5 on debut and it looks a good chance to run at those odds again. Drawing wide down the straight shouldn’t worry it too much and it could be swooping them late.

Setsuna has drawn the rail following its win in the Inglis 2YO at Moonee Valley. The Waterhouse/Bott-trained filly ran an outstanding second in the Gimcrack on debut and although that form doesn’t typically hold up, punters had to be impressed last start. It will likely jump and run.

Race 1 tip: Qafila to win ($4.60) at CrownBet.com.au

Race 2 – Tabcorp Trophy (1700m)

Invincibella is a four-time winner from 18 starts and it’s looking to rebound after running third in the Tesio Stakes. The Waller-trained mare showed its ability when winning consecutive starts earlier this campaign and the race wasn’t run to suit last start. Punters have come for it early at $2.70, but that price might drift a touch on race day.

Linguist was only a winner at Ballarat last start, but that came by four lengths. The Ellerton/Zahra-trained mare looks capable of running well against this level and stretching out to the 1700m looks ideal. The light weight of 54kg helps and the odds available are nice.

Race 2 tip: Linguist to place ($4) at Sportsbet.com.au

Race 3 – Lavazza Short Black Handicap (1400m)

flemington - Race 3

lavazza short black

Class: bm90

Track Rating: 3

12:15pm
  • Track Conditions: OVERCAST
  • Temperature: 13.3
  • Humidity: 56%
  • Wind Speed: 15.0
  • Wind Direction: SSW

lavazza short black

1400m
1400m
Tuesday 12:15pm
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Royal Tudor
Dwayne Dunn 60.0
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Boggoms
Dom Tourneur 56.0
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Land Of Plenty
Beau Mertens 55.0
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Dollar For Dollar
Ms Jamie Kah 54.5
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Fox Hall
Luke Currie 54.5
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New Universe
Kerrin Mcevoy 54.5
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Ozi Choice
Craig Williams 54.5
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Atlantic City
Stephen Baster 54.0
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Milwaukee
Patrick Moloney 54.0
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10  Wayanka
Kerrin Mcevoy 54.0
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11  Un De Sceaux
Noel Callow 54.0
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12  Divine Quality
Corey Brown 54.0
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13  Manuel
Zac Purton 54.0
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14  Krusty
Ben Allen 54.0
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15  Snipfit
Luke Nolen 54.0
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16  Spearhead
Daniel Moor 54.0
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New Universe was scratched last Saturday and punters are getting a better price now. The Waller-trained New Zealand import wasn’t disgraced when third last start and it’s unbeaten from two second-up starts. Running left-handed might be the problem, but given the odds of $4.40, punters are getting a good price to take the risk.

There has been a significant move for Land of Plenty, which has won only one race from 13 starts. The four-year-old has placed three times at Flemington which is a positive and it has been taking on tough company recently. He ran against the likes of Redkirk Warrior, Santa Ana Lane and Keen Array at its last three starts, so consider here.

Race 3 tip: New Universe to win ($4.40) at Neds.com.au

Race 4 – Ronald McDonald Plate (2800m)

Yogi is a past winner at Flemington and we’re not worried about the outside draw over this distance. The Darren Weir-trained five-year-old finished off well behind Melbourne Cup chance Amelie’s Star last start and that form should be good enough to this. Currently a $5.50 chance with bookmakers.

Granddukeoftuscany also has form behind Amelie’s Star when running second in the Bart Cummings. The Hickmott-trained stayer was pushing for a start in the Melbourne Cup and punters might get a better betting opportunity here. There is concern that it has won only twice, but the inside draw gives it a soft run and he should be tough to beat.

Race 4 tip: Granddukeoftuscany to win ($4.80) at Neds.com.au

Race 5 – Schweppes Flemington Fling (1000m)

Paret got a touch too far back at Rosehill, but it has some serious ability as it showed on debut. The Waller-trained sprinter defeated a good maiden field at Canterbury, but it has been starting over longer distances than this. The drop back to 1000m is the big concern, but there is some support around.

Madeenaty has been costly for punters this season, but a return to Flemington looks ideal. The Lindsay Park-trained three-year-old won here on debut and in fine style, so that form could continue over to this. Running down the straight is going to help her chances and drawing out wide should be the place to come. $7.50 is a value price.

Race 5 tip: Madeenaty to place ($2.50) at CrownBet.com.au

Race 6 – Lexus Hybrid Plate (1400m)

flemington - Race 6

lexus hybrid plate

Class: open lr

Track Rating: 3

2:00pm
  • Track Conditions: OVERCAST
  • Temperature: 14.1
  • Humidity: 57%
  • Wind Speed: 20.0
  • Wind Direction: S

lexus hybrid plate

1400m
1400m
Tuesday 2:00pm
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Torvill
Jason Collett 55.5
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Our Crown Mistress
Stephen Baster 55.0
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Counterplay
N Callow 55.0
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River Jewel
Damian Lane 55.0
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Wanted Diva
Craig Williams 55.0
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Warranty
Hugh Bowman 55.0
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Luqyaa
Blake Shinn 55.0
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Tarcoola Spirit
Ben Melham 55.0
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Yulong Xingsheng
Kerrin Mcevoy 55.0
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10  Super Snob
Beau Mertens 55.0
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11  Lady Of Crebilly
Dwayne Dunn 55.0
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12  Boorooj
Mark Zahra 55.0
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13  Lilas
Ryan Maloney 55.0
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Our Crown Mistress has looked impressive winning its last three and more wins are in store for this filly. The Waterhouse/Bott-trained three-year-old scored its third consecutive win at Caulfield last start and she defeated a handy field in the process. Getting the inside draw is going to allow it to dictate the pace again and the $3.20 is a solid price for a classy filly.

Counterplay looked good earlier in its career, but she returned to form when placing behind Our Crown Mistress last start. The Phillip Stokes-trained filly won by 4.5 lengths at Morphettville last season and it ran a gallant second in the Thoroughbred Club Stakes. Running at 1400m again looks ideal and it will be finishing off stylishly.

Race 6 tip: Counterplay to place ($2.30) at Unibet.com.au

Race 8 – James Boag’s Premium Stakes (1800m)

Odeon was too good for them last start and punters are getting good each way odds again. The four-year-old gelding was a 1.5-length winner at Caulfield and it overturned some pretty average form prior to that. He’s a confidence runner and the $6 could be value odds.

Lubiton is a five-time winner from 17 starts which scored a quality win at Moonee Valley last start. Flemington is another kettle of fish, but the rise in distance looks ideal and carrying only 54kg is going to take it close. Just needs to cross the field from out wide.

Race 8 tip: Lubiton to place ($2.10) at Sportsbet.com.au

Race 9 – MSS Security Sprint (1200m)

flemington - Race 9

mss security sprint

Class: open lr

Track Rating: 3

4:45pm
  • Track Conditions: OVERCAST
  • Temperature: 14.2
  • Humidity: 53%
  • Wind Speed: 17.0
  • Wind Direction: S

mss security sprint

1200m
1200m
Tuesday 4:45pm
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Kuro
Ben Melham 58.5
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Derryn
Blake Shinn 58.0
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Faatinah
Hugh Bowman 57.0
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Big Money
Mark Zahra 56.5
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Casino Wizard
Noel Callow 56.0
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Calanda
Kerrin Mcevoy 55.0
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Quatronic
Ms Kathy O'hara 54.5
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Nancy
Glyn Schofield 54.0
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Ocean Embers
Ms Nikita Beriman 54.0
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10  Crystal Dreamer
Damian Lane 54.0
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11  Tried And Tired
Jye Mcneil 54.0
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