Melbourne Cup favourites

THE Melbourne Cup is the one time of the year that the casual fan opens up the wallet and has a flutter.

Naturally the average punter is going to turn to the horses that feature towards the top of the market, and if there’s an outright favourite that horse is going to see the majority of the once-a-year money.

We’ve taken a look at how the favourites have fared in recent Melbourne Cup history to see if the short price is justified.

Who is the 2019 Melbourne Cup favourite?

After taking out the 2018 Melbourne Cup in barnstorming fashion, Godolphin import Cross Counter opened as the early $17 favourite at online bookmaker Sportsbet for the 2019 event. However, several other horses have come into contention since then.

Cross Counter wins Melbourne Cup
Cross Counter is the early favourite for the 2019 Melbourne Cup.

Finche stormed to the top of the Melbourne Cup outright odds with an impressive second-place finish in the Turnbull Stakes, while Surprise Baby is also well liked after a classy win in The Bart Cummings. Marmelo, which ran second in the Cup last year, is another contender.

The Caulfield Cup often turns up candidates for the big one at Flemington, and this year is no exception. Mer De Glace came through on the day, but it was Constantinople that caught the eye with a strong finish to snatch fourth place.

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2019 Melbourne Cup

No. Silks Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Odds
1 Cross Counter Melbourne Cup 2019 Cross Counter Charlie Appleby William Buick 5 57.5kg $13
2 Mer De Glace Melbourne Cup 2019 Mer De Glace Hisashi Shimizu Damian Lane 2 56kg $9
3 Master Of Reality Melbourne Cup 2019 Master Of Reality Joseph O’Brien Frankie Dettori 1 55.5kg $26
4 Mirage Dancer Melbourne Cup 2019 Mirage Dancer T Busuttin & N Young Ben Melham 13 55.5kg $34
5 Southern France Melbourne Cup 2019 Southern France C Maher & D Eustace Mark Zahra 14 55.5kg $23
6 Hunting Horn Melbourne Cup 2019 Hunting Horn Aidan O’Brien Seamie Heffernan 11 55kg $46
7 Latrobe Melbourne Cup 2019 Latrobe Joseph O’Brien James Mcdonald 13 55kg $46
8 Mustajeer Melbourne Cup 2019 Mustajeer Kris Lees Damien Oliver 6 55kg $21
9 Rostropovich Melbourne Cup 2019 Rostropovich D & B Hayes & T Dabernig Dwayne Dunn 12 55kg $101
10 Twilight Payment Melbourne Cup 2019 Twilight Payment Joseph O’Brien Hugh Bowman 19 55kg $41
11 Finche Melbourne Cup 2019 Finche Chris Waller Kerrin McEvoy 4 54kg $41
12 Prince Of Arran Melbourne Cup 2019 Prince Of Arran Charlie Fellowes Michael Walker 8 54kg $19
13 Raymond Tusk Melbourne Cup 2019 Raymond Tusk Richard Hannon Jamie Spencer 3 54kg $23
14 Downdraft Melbourne Cup 2019 Downdraft Joseph O’Brien John Allen 15 53.5kg $20
15 Magic Wand Melbourne Cup 2019 Magic Wand Aidan O’Brien John Allen 14 53.5kg $19
16 Neufbosc Melbourne Cup 2019 Neufbosc D & B Hayes & T Dabernig Luke Nolen 23 53.5kg $251
17 Sound Melbourne Cup 2019 Sound Mike Moroney James Winks 10 53.5kg $126
18 Surprise Baby Melbourne Cup 2019 Surprise Baby Paul Preusker Jordan Childs 20 53.5kg $15
19 Constantinople Melbourne Cup 2019 Constantinople D & B Hayes & T Dabernig Joao Moreira 7 52.5kg $10
20 Il Paradiso Melbourne Cup 2019 Il Paradiso Aidan O’Brien Wayne Lordan 17 52.5kg $14
21 Steel Prince Melbourne Cup 2019 Steel Prince Anthony Freedman Brett Prebble 16 52.5kg $71
22 The Chosen One Melbourne Cup 2019 The Chosen One M Baker & A Forsman Tim Clark 18 52kg $71
23 Vow And Declare Melbourne Cup 2019 Vow And Declare Dan O’Brien Craig Williams 21 52kg $12
24 Youngstar Melbourne Cup 2019 Youngstar Chris Waller Tommy Berry 9 52kg $34

2018 Melbourne Cup finishing order

Place Silks No. Horse Trainer Jockey Margin Barrier Weight Odds
1 23 Cross Counter Charlie Appleby Kerrin McEvoy 19 51kg
$15
2 9 Marmelo Hughie Morrison Hugh Bowman 1L 10 55kg
$12
3 17 A Prince Of Arran Charlie Fellows Michael Walker 3L 20 53kg
$23
4 13 Finche Chris Waller Zac Purton 3.5L 15 54kg
$26
5 24 Rostropovich Aidan O’Brien Wayne Lordan 4.5L 21 51kg
$21
6 22 Youngstar Chris Waller Craig Williams 5.75L 21 51.5kg
$11
7 19 Sir Charles Road Lance O’Sullivan & Andrew Scott Oliver Peslier 8.25L 14 53kg
$126
8 1 Best Solution Saeed Bin Suroor Pat Cosgrove 8.75L 6 57.5kg
$16
9 5 Muntahaa John Gosden Jim Crowley 9.5L 13 55.5kg
$17
10 16 Ventura Storm David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig Mark Zahra 11L 7 54.5kg
$31
11 11 Yucatan Aidan O’Brien James McDonald 11.75L 23 54.5kg
$6
12 18 Nakeeta Iain Jardine Regan Bayliss 11.85L 3 53kg
$81
13 18 Zacada Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman Damian Lane 13.85L 20 53kg
$151
14 Amelie's Star Melbourne Cup 2017 4 Chestnut Coat Yoshito Yahagi Yuga Kawada 16.1L 4 55.5kg
$71
15 15 Vengeur Masque David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig Patrick Moloney 16.3L 2 54kg
$51
16 3 Magic Circle Ian Williams Corey Brown 19.55L 15 56kg
$7
17 7 Who Shot TheBarman Chris Waller Ben Melham 22.55L 17 55.5kg
$31
18 6 Sound Check Michael Moroney Jordan Childs 27.55L 16 51kg
$41
19 21 Runaway Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Stephen Baster 28.05L 12 52kg
$81
20 8 Ace High David Payne Tye Angland 28.15L 22 55kg
$71
21 12 Auvray Richard Freedman Tommy Berry 68.15L 1 54kg
$81
22 10 Avilius James Cummings Glyn Schofield 69.15L 11 54.5kg
$16
23 14 Red Cardinal Darren Weir Damien Oliver 69.55L 5 54kg
$31
24 2 The Cliffsofmoher Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore DNF 9 56.5kg
$21

How have the most recent Melbourne Cup favourites fared?

It may be surprising to punters to find out that just one horse in the last 10 years has registered a win as the favourite in the Melbourne Cup.

Fiorente
Fiorente was the last favourite to win the Melbourne Cup. (Racing Photos)

Fiorente all the way back in 2013 as a $7 favourite at Sportsbet was the only time this decade a top elect has got the win, with Hartnell (2015) and So You Think (2010) the next best with a pair of third-placed finishes.

How often do favourites win the Melbourne Cup?

As of 2018, the starting favourite has won 34 of 158 Melbourne Cups, which works out to be just under a 1/4 shot.

Typically any horse in a 24-horse field is going to jump at long odds, but these odds shorten considerably when the once-a-year backers place their bets on whatever is on top of the betting market.

Fiorente in 2013 was the last time a favourite saluted in the Melbourne Cup, which means we’re overdue for another top elect to win in the race that stops a nation.

Recent Melbourne Cup favourites & their finishing order

Horse Year Finishing Position Price
Yucatan 2018 11th $7
Marmelo 2017 9th $8.50
Hartnell 2016 3rd $5.50
Fame Game 2015 13th $5
Admire Ratki 2014 Retired $5.50
Fiorente 2013 1st $7
Dunaden 2012 14th $7
Americain 2011 5th $5
So You tdink 2010 3rd $3
Alcopop 2009 6th $4.80
Mad Rush 2008 7th $5.50

 

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