THE Melbourne Cup is the one time of the year that the casual fan opens up the wallet and has a flutter.
Naturally the average punter is going to turn to the horses that feature towards the top of the market, and if there’s an outright favourite that horse is going to see the majority of the once-a-year money.
We’ve taken a look at how the favourites have fared in recent Melbourne Cup history to see if the short price is justified.
Who is the 2019 Melbourne Cup favourite?
After taking out the 2018 Melbourne Cup in barnstorming fashion, Godolphin import Cross Counter is the early $17 favourite at online bookmaker Sportsbet for next year’s cup.
The runner-up Marmelo is at the $21 quote, while Latrobe and Withold are locked together at the $26 quote.
2018 Melbourne Cup finishing order
|1||23||Cross Counter||Charlie Appleby||Kerrin McEvoy||19||51kg||$15|
|2||9||Marmelo||Hughie Morrison||Hugh Bowman||1L||10||55kg||$12|
|3||17||A Prince Of Arran||Charlie Fellows||Michael Walker||3L||20||53kg||$23|
|4||13||Finche||Chris Waller||Zac Purton||3.5L||15||54kg||$26|
|5||24||Rostropovich||Aidan O’Brien||Wayne Lordan||4.5L||21||51kg||$21|
|6||22||Youngstar||Chris Waller||Craig Williams||5.75L||21||51.5kg||$11|
|7||19||Sir Charles Road||Lance O’Sullivan & Andrew Scott||Oliver Peslier||8.25L||14||53kg||$126|
|8||1||Best Solution||Saeed Bin Suroor||Pat Cosgrove||8.75L||6||57.5kg||$16|
|9||5||Muntahaa||John Gosden||Jim Crowley||9.5L||13||55.5kg||$17|
|10||16||Ventura Storm||David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig||Mark Zahra||11L||7||54.5kg||$31|
|11||11||Yucatan||Aidan O’Brien||James McDonald||11.75L||23||54.5kg||$6|
|12||18||Nakeeta||Iain Jardine||Regan Bayliss||11.85L||3||53kg||$81|
|13||18||Zacada||Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman||Damian Lane||13.85L||20||53kg||$151|
|14||4||Chestnut Coat||Yoshito Yahagi||Yuga Kawada||16.1L||4||55.5kg||$71|
|15||15||Vengeur Masque||David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig||Patrick Moloney||16.3L||2||54kg||$51|
|16||3||Magic Circle||Ian Williams||Corey Brown||19.55L||15||56kg||$7|
|17||7||Who Shot TheBarman||Chris Waller||Ben Melham||22.55L||17||55.5kg||$31|
|18||6||Sound Check||Michael Moroney||Jordan Childs||27.55L||16||51kg||$41|
|19||21||Runaway||Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott||Stephen Baster||28.05L||12||52kg||$81|
|20||8||Ace High||David Payne||Tye Angland||28.15L||22||55kg||$71|
|21||12||Auvray||Richard Freedman||Tommy Berry||68.15L||1||54kg||$81|
|22||10||Avilius||James Cummings||Glyn Schofield||69.15L||11||54.5kg||$16|
|23||14||Red Cardinal||Darren Weir||Damien Oliver||69.55L||5||54kg||$31|
|24||2||The Cliffsofmoher||Aidan O’Brien||Ryan Moore||DNF||9||56.5kg||$21|
How have the most recent Melbourne Cup favourites fared?
It may be surprising to punters to find out that just one horse in the last ten years has registered a win as the favourite heading into the Melbourne Cup.
Fiorente all the way back in 2013 as a $7 favourite at Sportsbet was the only time this decade a top elect has got the win, with Hartnell (2015) and So You Think (2010) the next best with a pair of third placed finishes.
How often do favourites win the Melbourne Cup?
As of 2018, the starting favourite has won 34 of 158 Melbourne Cups, which works out to be just under a 1/4 shot.
Typically any horse in a 24 horse field is going to jump at long odds, but these odds shorten considerably when the once-a-year backers place their bets on whatever is on top of the betting market.
Fiorente in 2013 was the last time a favourite saluted in the Melbourne Cup, which means we’re overdue for another top elect to win in the race that stops a nation.
Recent Melbourne Cup favourites & their finishing order
|So You Think||2010||Third||$3|