Rosehill Gardens betting preview & quaddie tips | 26/3/2022

Rosehill betting tips

What Tancred Stakes Day
Where Rosehill Gardens Racecourse – James Ruse Dr, Rosehill NSW 2142
When Saturday, March 26, 2022
Feature Race Race 7: Group 1 Tancred Stakes (2400m)
First Race 12:15pm AEDT

HorseBetting’s New South Wales form analyst brings you his race-by-race preview with best bets and quaddie numbers for Saturday’s meeting at Rosehill Gardens – the track’s last of the 2022 Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival. We also have dedicated previews for the two Group 1 races on the card: the Vinery Stud Stakes and the $1.5 million Tancred Stakes.

The track is predicted to be drier than previous weeks, as it is currently rated a Soft 7, with the rail out 5m from the 1400m to the winning post and 4m for the remainder of the course. The first race on Stakes Day is scheduled to jump at 12:15pm AEDT, with the first of the Group 1s set for 3:55pm AEDT.

For all of our best bets and quaddie numbers, continue reading.

Race 1: Benchmark 72 Midway Handicap (1300m)

It is always a tricky way to start the day with these Midway races, but we are pretty keen on the chances of Lord Heron who is on the seven-day back-up after running third in a very similar race last Saturday over 1500m here at Rosehill. The Allan Kehoe-trained seven-year-old found the front early on that occasion and fought on very gamely, only to go down by 1.4 lengths to Achira and Fantastic Baby. He had to do a bit of work early on Saturday from barrier 11, so with the drop back to 1300m and much softer gate (2) to contend with, he is going to take a fair bit of catching. Jason Collett is booked to ride, but he fell in a race at Warwick Farm on Wednesday, so he will be monitored over the next few days, but we would expect a replacement rider to be announced by Saturday.

Race 2: Group 3 Schweppervescence (Baillieu Handicap)(1400m)

A capacity field of two-year-olds will take their place in Saturday’s Schweppervescence over 1400m in a bid to gain a start in next Saturday’s ATC Sires’ Produce Stakes. Some nice horses have won this race in recent years, so we look forward to following where the winner can go in the next 12-24 months. In 2021, Saif won this race after running second in the VRC Sires’ Produce Stakes (1400m) at Flemington a fortnight earlier, and that is the form we are going to stick with in 2022. Bessmati has always been a filly we have had a bit of time for, and it is fair to say she hasn’t really let us down since her impressive maiden performance at Doomben in January. The Annabel Neasham-trained filly won her maiden over 1300m two starts back and she since ran very well behind some nice horses in the VRC Sires, running fifth just 1.55 lenghts behind Let’srollthedice. James McDonald goes in the saddle on Saturday which is a very nice booking, while she is drawn to get a terrific run in transit from barrier two. She can win this race with some nice weight relief against the boys.

Best ValueRace 2 – Bessmati (#9) $20 with Sportsbet

Race 3: Group 3 Neville Selwood Stakes (2000m)

The Neville Selwood Stakes is always an interesting one, with plenty of handy gallopers lining up each year without any of them really threatening at the top level. Polly Grey fits that bill, having won 10 of her 38 starts, but never really looking likely in Group 1 races. The Chris Waller-trained mare loves wet tracks and she does her best racing at Rosehill over 2000m, with two wins from her two starts at the course and distance. The big grey was good two starts ago when second to Le Lude, before going to the Group 1 Coolmore Classic on March 12 when 10th behind Lighthouse. Now out to 2000m and back to Group 3 level with only 53.5kg on her back, Polly Grey will take some beating.

Race 4: Group 2 Tulloch Stakes (2000m)

A number of staying three-year-olds will line up in the Tulloch Stakes over 2000m in what is a last-minute effort to get into next Saturday’s Australian Derby. Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott saddle up Zoumon in this year’s Tulloch Stakes, and we are pretty confident that he can get the job done at $14. The son of Zoustar just missed out on gaining a start in the Victoria Derby in the spring, so we imagine that qualifying for the Australian Derby has been at the forefront of connection’s minds for the best part of four or five months. The gelding was well backed at Rosehill over 1900m a fortnight ago but he struggled against the older horses, but prior to that he was dominant leading all of the way at Canterbury on a Heavy track. He should roll forward and find the front from barrier nine under Tim Clark and he will take some running down. This is a nice race for him.

Race 5: Group 2 Emancipation Stakes (1500m)

A field of 11 mares will contest Sarturday’s $200,000 Emancipation Stakes over 1500m, with a number of differing formlines being tied in together. Daniel Morton has a very smart galloper on his hands in the form of Kissonallforcheeks who bolted in at Flemington two weeks ago in the Group 3 Shaftesbury Avenue (1400m). The Western Australian four-year-old finished third in both the Group 1 Railway Stakes and Group 1 Kingston Town Classic at Ascot during The WA Masters, before returning with a good second in the Listed Cyril Flower Stakes and then heading east where she made a mess of some good horses. Having never missed the top two in her three soft track runs, she should be in her element on Saturday at Rosehill, provided it doesn’t get too wet. She’s a very nice mare who can win a Group 1 in the very near future.

Race 6: Group 3 Doncaster Prelude (1500m)

Runners in Saturday’s Doncaster Prelude will be looking to book themselves a spot into next Saturday’s Doncaster Mile, and one runner who can do it is Our Playboy for Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr. If Our Playboy can produce a similar run to what he did in last year’s Group 3 Winx Guineas on the Sunshine Coast, he will take plenty of beating under the 2021 Doncaster Handicap winning rider, Jamie Kah. From the inside alley, this four-year-old son of Sebring is going to get the right run in transit, while he will relish the wet track and he should improve immensely from his first-up fourth behind Kissonallforcheeks at Flemington. With just 53kg on his back, Our Playboy looks to be one of the bets of the day at Rosehill.

Best BetRace 6 – Our Playboy (#11) $4 with Sportsbet

Race 7: Group 1 Tancred Stakes (2400m)

The 2022 Tancred Stakes shapes to be one of the more exciting races of the autumn, with a highly anticipated rematch between Australian Cup trifecta Duais, Think It Over and Spanish Mission will be run and won, while a highly popular stayer from New Zealand, The Chosen One, makes his Australian return.

See who HorseBetting’s racing tipster has selected in the 2022 Tancred Stakes

Race 8: Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m)

A strong field of three-year-old fillies will do battle in the Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes over 2000m. Gypsy Goddess and Hinged share favouritism, with the former looking to maintain her unbeaten record in her first crack at Group 1 glory.

See who our racing analyst is tipping in the 2022 Vinery Stud Stakes

Race 9: Group 3 Star Kingdom Stakes (1200m)

The Star Kingdom Stakes shapes to be one of the better races of the afternoon, with a big field of sprinters lining up. On Tuesday, Maotai produced one of the most impressive trial victories we have ever seen, leading all of the way to win the 1030m trial at Rosehill by 10.22 lengths over He’s a Hotshot and Obvious Step. While the trial was visually impressive, it was backed up by the clock, running 1.86 seconds faster than any other 1030m trial on the same day. That was on a Heavy 8 track, so the wet surface won’t be an issue for the Kacy Fogden-trained galloper, while barrier four with just 53.5kg on his back will see him jump, lead and win. Tim Clark just needs to hold on for this to be winning.

Next BestRace 9 – Maotai (#18) $2.60 with Sportsbet

Race 10: Benchmark 88 Handicap (1400m)

Quite often when we go from Group races back to Benchmark races it can be a bit of a buzzkill way to end the afternoon, but this is a really nice race. A couple of promising gallopers go around in it, including Taksu and Rustic Steel. It was pretty hard to split the pair of last-start winners, but with Taksu’s weight relief and Rustic Steel two weeks away from his grand final in the Provincial-Midway Championships Final, we are confident that the former will get the better of the Kris Lees-trained galloper on Saturday. Taksu was super a fortnight ago at this track over 1350m, racing away to win by 3.75 lengths, so the rise to 1400m should only suit him even more. After Tyler Schiller’s claim, the son of Equiano gets in with just 55kg, while he will do no work from the inside alley. Rustic Steel is a very nice horse, but we expect this run to just tip him over in preparation for his target race in a fortnight.

Rosehill quaddie tips for Tancred Stakes Day 2022

Rosehill quadrella selections
Leg 1: 1-3-10-11
Leg 2: 1-2-3-4-5-6
Leg 3: 13-18
Leg 4: 7-8
Investment: $80 for 100%

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