Melbourne Cup weather 2024
On Melbourne Cup day, just about the only thing you cannot account for is the weather.
Whether you are competing in fashions on the field, looking to gain an edge on the bookies or just avoid the rain at Flemington, keeping an eye on the weather patterns is vitally important.
For a city as unpredictable weather-wise as Melbourne, it is always best to prepare for every possible condition.
2024 Melbourne Cup Weather Forecast
A perfect day is forecast for Flemington on Melbourne Cup Day 2024.
A top of 26 degrees is forecast, so punters can expect a Good track rating come Cup time at 3pm AEDT.
Pack the sunscreen and stay well hydrated!
2024 Melbourne Cup Field
1. Vauban (11)
- T: Willie Mullins
- J: William Buick
- W: 55.5kg
- F: 21342
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Chestnut
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Galiway (GB)
- Dam: Waldfest (GB)
2. Buckaroo (21)
- T: Chris Waller
- J: Joao Moreira
- W: 54.5kg
- F: 22118
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Fastnet Rock
- Dam: Roheryn (IRE)
3. Circle Of Fire (24)
- T: Ciaron Maher
- J: Mark Zahra
- W: 54.5kg
- F: 098×1
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Almanzor (FR)
- Dam: Fiery Sunset (GB)
4. Warp Speed (3)
- T: Noboru Takagi
- J: Akira Sugawara
- W: 54.5kg
- F: 0x523
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Drefong (USA)
- Dam: Deep Love (JPN)
5. Kovalica (17)
- T: Chris Waller
- J: Damian Lane
- W: 53.5kg
- F: 6243x
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Ocean Park (NZ)
- Dam: Vitesse (NZ)
6. Sharp ‘N’ Smart (15)
- T: Graeme & Deborah Rogerson
- J: Michael Dee
- W: 53.5kg
- F: 3020x
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Redwood (GB)
- Dam: Queen Margaret (NZ)
7. Just Fine (13)
- T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
- J: Jye McNeil
- W: 53kg
- F: 01050
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Sea The Stars (IRE)
- Dam: Bint Almatar (USA)
8. Land Legend (18)
- T: Chris Waller
- J: Zac Purton
- W: 53kg
- F: 3160x
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Chestnut
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Galileo (IRE)
- Dam: Landikusic (IRE)
9. Absurde (7)
- T: Willie Mullins
- J: Kerrin McEvoy
- W: 52.5kg
- F: x14x1
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Fastnet Rock
- Dam: Incroyable (USA)
10. Athabascan (2)
- T: John O’Shea & Tom Charlton
- J: Zac Lloyd
- W: 52kg
- F: 1008x
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Almanzor (FR)
- Dam: Alzubra (GB)
11. Knight’s Choice (6)
- T: John Symons & Sheila Laxon
- J: Robbie Dolan
- W: 51.5kg
- F: 5009x
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Extreme Choice
- Dam: Midnight Pearl
12. Okita Soushi (10)
- T: Ciaron Maher
- J: Jamie Kah
- W: 51kg
- F: 1208x
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Galileo (IRE)
- Dam: Amicus
13. Onesmoothoperator (12)
- T: Brian Ellison
- J: Craig Williams
- W: 51kg
- F: 1471x
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Dialed In (USA)
- Dam: Sueno D’Oro (USA)
14. Zardozi (4)
- T: James Cummings
- J: Andrea Atzeni
- W: 51kg
- F: 54256
- Age: 4YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Mare
- Sire: Kingman (GB)
- Dam: Chanderi (GB)
15. Sea King (1)
- T: Harry Eustace
- J: Hollie Doyle
- W: 50.5kg
- F: 1×631
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Brown
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Sea The Stars (IRE)
- Dam: Pamona (IRE)
16. Valiant King (22)
- T: Chris Waller
- J: Craig Newitt
- W: 50.5kg
- F: 906×6
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Grey
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Roaring Lion (USA)
- Dam: Assembly (USA)
17. Fancy Man (19)
- T: Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald
- J: Ron Stewart
- W: 50kg
- F: 635×0
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Pride of Dubai
- Dam: Fancy (IRE)
18. Interpretation (14)
- T: Ciaron Maher
- J: Teo Nugent
- W: 50kg
- F: 26800
- Age: 7YO
- Colour: Brown
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Galileo (IRE)
- Dam: Daldiyna (FR)
19. Manzoice (8)
- T: Chris Waller
- J: Declan Bates
- W: 50kg
- F: 7032x
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Almanzor (FR)
- Dam: Choice (NZ)
20. Mostly Cloudy (16)
- T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young
- J: Karis Teetan
- W: 50kg
- F: 044×2
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Gelding
- Sire: Harzand (IRE)
- Dam: Clarinda (FR)
21. Positivity (20)
- T: Andrew Forsman
- J: Winona Costin
- W: 50kg
- F: 8712x
- Age: 4YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Mare
- Sire: Almanzor (FR)
- Dam: Pussy O’Reilly (NZ)
22. Saint George (9)
- T: Ciaron Maher
- J: Tyler Schiller
- W: 50kg
- F: 5948x
- Age: 5YO
- Colour: Grey
- Sex: Horse
- Sire: Roaring Lion (USA)
- Dam: Lady Dragon (IRE)
23. The Map (23)
- T: Dan Clarken & Oopy MacGillivray
- J: Rachel King
- W: 50kg
- F: 6509x
- Age: 6YO
- Colour: Bay
- Sex: Mare
- Sire: Alpine Eagle
- Dam: This Moment
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How to successfully negotiate Melbourne’s weather at the Cup
Success can be defined many ways at the Melbourne Cup, some might say its picking a winner in the big one, others would argue that keeping dry or out of the sun constitutes a successful day.
If rain is forecast you might be out of last if you are not in a marquee or the grandstand as cover is minimal on track.
If you are prepared to cop some flack, blokes pairing an umbrella with their race day ensemble would be considered prudent in our eyes. This covers both the rain and the fierce November sun.
If you are not prepared to be labelled a sook, a hat has become somewhat of a fashion statement at the Cup in recent times, with also has a nice throw back to the first-ever running of the Melbourne Cup back in 1861.
Just one piece of advice, leave the fedora at home.
How does the weather impact The Melbourne Cup track conditions
Weather plays one of the more important roles in deciding which runner you should invest upon in the Melbourne Cup.
Heavy rain can change the track rating of the racecourse, as can unfiltered sunshine on a 30 degree day.
Racing Victoria updated their track rating system to provide a more accurate summation of how their tracks are playing out on race day.
Bear in mind that the rating given at the start of Melbourne Cup day could potentially change as the event progresses so keep an ear out for the up-to-date rating.
| RATING | NUMERICAL | DESCRIPTION OF NUMERICAL VALUE |
|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | Dry hard track |
| Firm | 2 | Firm track |
| Good | 3 | Track with good grass coverage and cushion |
| Good | 4 | Track with some give in it |
| Soft | 5 | Track with a reasonable amount of give in it |
| Soft | 6 | Moist by not badly affected track |
| Soft | 7 | More rain-affected track that will chop out |
| Heavy | 8 | Rain affected track and horses will get into |
| Heavy | 9 | Wet track getting into squelchy area |
| Heavy | 10 | Heaviest category track, very wet, towards saturation |
It is also important to know that Flemington has one of the best irrigation and drainage systems in all of racing. The Racing Victoria edict is that all tracks should have a ‘good rating, which mitigates the risk of horses getting hurt by harder surface.
The Flemington curators will be hoping for consistent weather in the lead-up to Melbourne Cup day as they prepare the track for the race that stops a nation. If the weather is fine the track will receive plenty of watering to ensure the surface is pristine for the big one.
It is fair to say the track workers know exactly what they are doing too. Just twice in the period between 2006-2016 has the track been rated anything other than Good heading into the Melbourne Cup.
In a race that is full of unique history, such as Melbourne Cup calcutta draws, the weather certainly plays a huge part in the result and the day in general, so it pays to do your homework in the days leading up to the race.
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