Rosehill tips, value bets & quaddie picks | Saturday 6/11/2021
| What | Rosehill Races |
| Where | Rosehill Gardens – James Ruse Drive, Rosehill NSW 2142 |
| When | Saturday, November 6, 2021 |
| First Race | 12:55pm AEDT |
| Feature Race | |
| Watch Live | |
HorseBetting’s New South Wales form analyst brings you his full race-by-race guide as well as best bets and quaddie numbers for the 10-race program at Rosehill Gardens this Saturday, which is headlined by the $1 million Golden Gift for two-year-olds. The track is rated a Good 4 and the rail is out 3m for the entire course. The first race of the day is set to jump at 12:55pm AEDT, while the last will go around at 6:45pm.
Race 1: Benchmark 78 Handicap (2400m)
Stayers get their chance in the opener over 2400m, and given the form that Chris Waller is in, it is hard to go past him in the first. Suppression has been sent to Waller’s Sydney stable after a successful Victorian campaign which has seen him run second twice and then win in dominant fashion at Mornington last time out. This four-year-old son of Mongolian Khan finished midfield in this year’s Group 1 South Australian Derby behind the likes of Explosive Jack and Let’s Karaka Deel and is proven at this distance, so he can open the account in Sydney with a win here. He should land in a good spot from barrier six under Tommy Berry and be very hard to beat.
Selections: 4-1-6-7
Race 2: Class 3 Highway (1500m)
A competitive Highway field lines up in race two, so we have looked a bit wider and found one at $16 odds. Stephen Jones and Tim Clark combine with Andorra La Vella as he looks to make it three-straight wins after all-the-way victories at Scone and Muswellbrook respectively. Clark is one of the best front-running riders in the country, so from gate three with only 54.5kg, he should be able to control things from the front again and take some beating.
Selections: 11-12-4-2
Race 3: Benchmark 78 (1800m)
In the third race of the afternoon, we are confident that Kristen Buchanan’s Jazzland can get an easy time in front and be able to lead all the way under Joshua Parr. The seven-year-old gelding will admittedly need to go to another level to win on Saturday after back-to-back runner-up performances, but with form around Shibli and the subsequent winner Milk Man, we believe he can. Drawn well in gate five, the son of Home On The Grange can get a soft lead and take some serious reeling in.
Selections: 3-4-5-1
Race 4: Benchmark 78 (1100m)
The fourth race of the day sees a former Queenslander line up in her first start for Ed Cummings. Amiche takes south some solid Brisbane form around the likes of Ingear, Contemptuous and Fender which should be very competitive in this Benchmark 78. The Nicconi mare has only been out of the placings once in her nine start career when she went down as a $1.75 favourite at Doomben over 12 months ago. Drawn ideally in barrier three, Josh Parr should get the five-year-old in a great spot and be very hard to beat. This race lacks a fair bit of depth.
Selections: 3-5-9-2
Race 5: Country Classic (2000m)
A capacity field of 18 has been assembled for this year’s Country Classic over 2000m, with Dream Runner set to start as favourite. While we concede the market elect will take some beating, the only knock on Kitzbuhel is barrier 21, but he will come in to gate 16 once the emergencies come out and his racing pattern will see him push on and lead anyway, so at the $9 we are happy to be on. The son of Medaglia d’Oro led all of the way to win over 1800m a fortnight ago when second-up, so we can only assume he will get better now that he’s at his third run for the preparation. Like we said earlier, Tim Clark is one of the best jockeys when it comes to riding a leader, so there’s no reason to take a set against him here.
Selections: 3-2-10-9
Race 6: Benchmark 72 Midway Handicap (1300m)
This week’s Midway Handicap has already seen four scratchings come out, but we still have 10 starters set to take their place. At the top of the page is five-year-old gelding Travest, who lines up in his first-up run. The Gregory Hickman-trained son of Tavistock has won three of his 11 starts, two of which had Tommy Berry in the saddle, so the reunion on Saturday should see a turn of form. Travest has drawn poorly in barrier 13, but he will get back in the run anyway and be flashing home late. Pandora Blue will be the one he has to run down.
Selections: 1-4-6-7
Race 7: Golden Gift (1100m)
The feature race on the program is the $1 million Golden Gift for the babies, where the first two horses past the post will gain an automatic entry into the Golden Slipper Stakes next year. Annabel Neasham and Tommy Berry combine with Nobel in just his second career start after the son of Exceed And Excel was a touch unlucky at Moonee Valley on debut over 1000m. The colt did his best work late, charging through the line, so the rise to 1100m and the bigger track should suit. Sejardan is the biggest danger as he looks to remain unbeaten after a good win in the Breeders’ Plate.
Selections: 2-1-8-4
Race 8: Group 2 Hot Danish Stakes (1400m)
In the eighth, a field of 10 mares will contest the Group 2 Hot Danish Stakes over 1400m, including the runner-up from The Invitation, Rocha Clock. The John O’Shea-trained daughter of Pierro won the Group 3 Dark Jewel at Scone earlier in the year and has returned in good form this preparation with a 2.5-length defeat first-up to subsequent Flemington winner Minhaaj before going down to Icebath in The Invitation a fortnight ago, with that runner going on to run a narrow second in the Group 1 Cantala Stakes at her next start. That form looks good enough for this.
Selections: 1-3-4-8
Race 9: Benchmark 78 (1200m)
We go from a $1 million race and then a Group 2 race back to a Benchmark 78 in the penultimate, and boy, is it hard to get enthused. We found Flat Heaven on top in a very similar race just seven days ago and nearly got it right, with the Bjorn Baker-trained gelding going down by a quarter of a length. The quick backup suggests to us that the horse is going well enough to win, while he drops 0.5kg into this too. No confidence, but we are with the toppy again.
Selections: 1-5-8-10
Race 10: Benchmark 78 (1400m)
Rounding out the day is another Benchmark 78, and while it is very competitive, we have a little bit more confidence going into it. John O’Shea and Tommy Berry combine with Blesk, who should be hard to beat if he recreates his first two runs. First-up, this son of Savabeel was a certainty beaten over 1250m, before proving too strong late over 1300m at his next start. Blesk now stretches his legs out to 1400m in his third-up run, while he should get the run to suit from barrier eight. Blesk over the top in the last.
Selections: 7-5-13-4
Saturday quaddie tips for Rosehill Gardens
| Rosehill quadrella selections | |
|---|---|
| Leg 1: | 1-2-4-8 |
| Leg 2: | 1-3 |
| Leg 3: | 1-7-8 |
| Leg 4: | 1-2-3-6-7 |
| Investment: | $288 for 100% |