Pakenham best bets & quaddie tips | January 12, 2023

Pakenham night racing tips

What Pakenham Races
Where Pakenham Racing Club – 420 Nar Nar Goon–Longwarry Rd, Tynong VIC 3813
When Thursday, January 12, 2023
First Race 5:45pm AEDT

Night racing will return to Pakenham Racing Club this Thursday night when they host the first night of the Future Stars Maiden Series on a very competitive eight-race program. The track is currently rated a Good 4 and with warm weather forecast for the Wednesday and Thursday, we don’t expect to see a track any softer than a Good 4. The rail will be in the +3m position for the entire circuit, when racing gets underway at 5:45pm AEDT.

Best Bet at Pakenham: Tolpuddle

Our best bet at Pakenham will be Tolpuddle from the Grahame Begg yard after breaking his maiden first-up at Geelong over 1309m on December 16. This son of Pierro has finished in the placings at his two careers starts to date, with his debut run also coming at Geelong finishing behind the talented Grand Impact over 1200m. On Thursday, this lightly raced four-year-old gelding is set to meet with Black Zous, however, he is also accepted for Sandown Lakeside on Wednesday and is the second favourite there. If Black Zous runs at Sandown on Wednesday, we could see Tolpuddle’s odds shorten dramatically, but if Jerome Hunter chooses to bring Black Zous to Cranbourne, we could see two up-and-coming geldings go toe-to-toe over the 1400m on Thursday night. Jordan Childs will have his first sit on this gelding on Thursday night and from barrier two, he should settle in the one-one and be very hard to beat with even luck.

Best Bet

Race 6 – silks#6 Tolpuddle (9)

4yo Gelding | T: Grahame Begg | J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg)

$2.90 with Bet365

Next Best at Pakenham: Fancylanski

In the final race of the night, we will be siding with the Simon Lee-trained Fancylanski, who has recorded back-to-back wins at her third and fourth career start at Pakenham and Geelong over 1400m and 1500m. This four-year-old mare broke her maiden at Pakenham in a close finish, before running away from her rivals last start at Geelong to indicate that this girl is in a purple patch of form and looks to be holding it nicely. A common saying in horse racing, is to follow mares in form, and this mare fits the bill perfectly and now that she rises to 1600m on Thursday night, she should prove very hard to beat once again. Michael Dee will stick with this daughter of Polanksi after riding her to victory last start and if he gives her as good a ride as he did at Geelong, she will be in this race for a long way.

Next Best

Race 8 – silks#6 Fancylanski (9)

4yo Mare | T: Simon Lee | J: Michael Dee (59kg)

$4.80 with Neds

Value Bet at Pakenham: Your Shout Gingie

Our value bet of the night will be Your Shout Gingie from the Robbie Griffiths & Mathew de Kock yard and will be running in the Future Stars 3YO Fillies Maiden Plate over 1200m first-up with the benefit of three jump outs over 800m. This daughter of Choisir was impressive without winning at her two starts last preparation, finishing fourth and fifth over 1200m at Cranbourne and over 1200m at Sandown Lakeside. Both of those starts were decent form races with the second and third placegetter from her Cranbourne start coming out to win their next start. The one worry we have about this filly is that she is the first emergency, so we need a scratching for her to gain a start and if she does, she will make her presence felt in the final 200m of this event.

Best Value

Race 5 – silks#13 Your Shout Gingie (4)

3yo Filly | T: Robbie Griffiths & Mathew de Kock | J: TBA (57kg)

$15 with Bet365

Thursday quaddie tips for Pakenham

Pakenham quadrella selections

Thursday, January 12, 2023

  1. 2-3-7-10-13
  2. 1-6
  3. 7-8-10
  4. 4-6-8

Investment: $90 for 100%

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