Pakenham Cup Day tips, value bets & quaddie picks | December 4

Pakenham tips

What Pakenham Cup Day 2021
Where Pakenham Racing Club – 420 Nar Nar Goon–Longwarry Rd, Tynong VIC 3813
When Saturday, December 4, 2021
First Race 12:35pm AEDT
Feature Race R7 Listed Pakenham Cup (2500m)

Pakenham Racecourse is scheduled to host a nine-race card on Saturday afternoon for Pakenham Cup Day, and HorseBetting’s Victorian form expert presents his best bets and free quaddie selections for the meeting. The track is rated a Good 4, the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit, and racing is set to get underway at 12:35pm AEDT.

Pakenham Cup Top Tip – Mankayan

The Listed Pakenham Cup (2500m) is the feature race of the day, and we are hoping the Ciaron Maher & David Eustace-trained Mankayan can make it consecutive victories. Having outstayed Blanford Lad on Cranbourne Cup Day, he did his best work late to get up in the shadows of the winning post. It was his first win on Australian soil, and with that type of confidence behind him, we expect he will go on with the job at Pakenham. Prior to that win, he had five straight minor placings to his name this campaign, including a second behind Great House in the Hotham Handicap. If he brings the type of performance he produced in the last time out and the Hotham, then Mankayan will be a big chance at a nice price.

Pakenham CupRace 7 – Mankayan (#6) $4.80 with Sportsbet

Pakenham Best Bet – Maybe The Best

The Anthony & Sam Freedman-trained Maybe The Best has not finished worse than second in six career starts, and despite only winning twice in that stretch, she looks a clear best bet on Saturday. The rising four-year-old mare regains the services of Jye McNeil, who was on board for the all-the-way win at Bendigo on October 27, so that is good news for a horse that looks to be a genuine frontrunner. Last time out, at Cranbourne on a Heavy 10, she settled outside the leader and found one better in the shadows of the winning post. Both of her career wins have come on firmer decks, which is what she gets here, and from barrier two, McNeil should have no issue in finding the lead and dictating terms over the 1400m trip.

Best BetRace 2 – Maybe The Best (#6) $4 with Sportsbet

Next Best Bet – Marine One

Marine One from the Ciaron Maher & David Eustace yard steps out of the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes and back into a BM70 where he looks very hard to beat. The son of Capitalist finished 11th in the Coolmore, beaten convincingly by Home Affairs, but considering he was only a length off the likes of Shaquero, Extreme Warrior and Ingratiating, he looks the one to beat here. The three-year-old colt will get the run of the race from barrier three, and considering he goes around with 57kg following Josh Richards’ claim, his class alone has him right in this. His win two starts back at Moonee Valley on October 22 oozed class, so the $4.20 looks a steal if he is anywhere near his best.

Next BestRace 4 – Marine One (#1) $4.20 with Sportsbet

Best Value at Pakenham – Turbeau

Having smashed his rivals in the Tatura Cup, the David Brideoake-trained Turbeau comes to Pakenham in career-best form having won three of his past four starts. He is a get-back-and-run-on type who has shown an excellent turn of foot in weaker company, but this five-year-old son of Brazen Beau looks ready for the step up in grade. With good form behind subsequent Stakes winner Rainbiel earlier in this campaign, he deserves a crack at metropolitan level. With a genuine tempo expected, the race should be run to Turbeau’s liking, and with a nice turn of foot, he should be fighting out the finish.

Best ValueRace 8 – Turbeau (#7) $9 with Sportsbet

Pakenham Cup Day quaddie tips

Pakenham quadrella selections
Leg 1: 1-6-8-10
Leg 2: 5-6-8-10
Leg 3: 1-2-7-11
Leg 4: 3-5-12-14
Investment: $256 for 100%

See more racing tips

Notify of
1 Comment
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
1 month ago

Mankayan didn’t run in the Cranbourne cup.