Follow Files: Russian Warrior, Monfelicity ready to win

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The 2021/22 season came to an end on Saturday, but that doesn’t mean the winners have to stop rolling around. The team at The Follow Files has found you a couple of horses from Rosehill Gardens and Eagle Farm to keep an eye on going forward.

Eagle Farm | Track: Good 4 | Rail: +3m Entire Course

Race 3: 2YO Handicap (1400m) | Time: 1:26.76

  • Horse to follow: RUSSIAN WARRIOR (3rd)

It may have only been a late two-year-old race at an off-season meeting, but we are convinced that the first three horses past the post have a bit of ability. Billionair Baby has now won two races and finished second in the other two, while runner-up Better Rain hasn’t missed a top-two finish in nine career starts right across Queensland. The filly who finished third – RUSSIAN WARRIOR – is the one we want to follow now. The Allan Chau-trained galloper has only had two runs this preparation, finishing in the minor money both times. She hit the line nicely in her first race beyond 1200m on Saturday, so we expect her to take plenty of benefit from it and take some beating in the near future.

When to bet: Last preparation, Russian Warrior was an eight-length winner when fourth-up, so that tells us that she builds fitness and fires deeper into her campaign. There is a 1200m 3YO Fillies race at Doomben on August 10 and a 1500m 3YO race at Eagle Farm on August 13 – both would be within her reach.

Rosehill Gardens | Track: Heavy 8 (Soft 7 after R2) | Rail: +4m 1500m to WP, True Remainder

Race 4: Fillies & Mares Benchmark 78 Handicap (1800m) | Time: 1:52.51

  • Horse to follow: MONFELICITY (5th)

By no means is MONFELICITY a world-beater, but she was pretty unlucky on Saturday and can win one soon. The David Payne-trained mare was a knockout winner first-up over 1600m, and her form suggested that the rise to 1800m would have been even more suitable, so the bookmakers kept her safe at $8. After settling down three pairs back on the fence, she never really got a fair crack at them. Although she did get out with a fair bit of time left in the straight, she had to build the revs, whereas the first four mares past the post had the momentum up and were already hitting top speed while she was bottled up.

When to bet: She is only going to be better as she gets to 2000m and beyond, but she looks to have come back really well this preparation, so we are happy to be on her wherever she goes next – especially if it is wet.

Race 8: Listed Winter Challenge (1500m) | Time: 1:30.80

  • Horse to follow: GOLD TRIP (3rd)

The hype could be justified around Ciaron Maher & David Eustace’s import GOLD TRIP. Sent out to Australia around this time last year, Gold Trip was one of the favourites for the Cox Plate, but an issue saw him scratched on the eve of the famous race. It was a long time coming, but he finally made his Australian debut on Saturday, warming up brilliantly late to run third behind Cross Talk in a pace-dominated race.

When to bet: No doubt, the Cox Plate will be the target for this son of Outstrip, and his price has already halved for the weight-for-age contest. Off this run, he can pick up a Group 1 along the way to the Moonee Valley feature.

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