|What||Caloundra Cup Day – Sunshine Coast Races|
|Where||Corbould Park, 170 Pierce Avenue, Caloundra QLD|
|When||Sunday, July 11, 2021|
|First Race||12:35pm AEST|
HorseBetting’s Queensland form analyst has previewed the Sunshine Coast’s nine-race program once again for Caloundra Cup Day after the meeting was postponed eight days ago due to heavy rain. Nicholas Lloyd has given us his best bets in all three feature races, as well as his best bets and quaddie numbers throughout the afternoon. The track is rated a Heavy 8 as of Thursday evening, but sunshine over the coming days is expected to enforce an upgrade to the surface. The rail will be in the true position for the entire course. The first of nine metropolitan races are due to face the starter at 12:35pm AEST.
Winx Guineas Tips – #2 Playboy
Mick Price & Michael Kent Jr had a solid Brisbane Winter Carnival with Ayrton winning on Stradbroke Handicap Day, and while Our Playboy hasn’t quite left his mark, there is still time with one more run here in the Winx Guineas. The son of Sebring has only won three races, all of which came on rain affected surfaces, including the Group 3 Vain Stakes at Caulfield on August 15 over 1100m. The gelding is yet to race over 1600m in 13 starts, but after being three-wide-without-cover all throughout his most recent start at Ipswich over 1350m, he should be able to see out the trip. The wet conditions will be to his liking, especially given that the last time he saw a wet track was the last time he was in the winner’s stall. Barrier 17 is far from ideal, but we expect Robbie Fradd who rides well at this track with a 17% winning strike rate to find a spot early along the long back straight. Our Playboy will settle just off the pace and be finishing home very strongly with plenty of galloping room on the big track.
Caloundra Cup Best Bet – #4 Flash Aah
This race has dropped away a fair bit due to it being run after the Grafton Cup on Thursday, but our top pick remains in the field, so nothing has changed here. Flash Aah is one galloper who any racehorse owner would love to own. The five-year-old gelding has recorded wins over as short as 1000m and as long as 1800m in just his 15-start career and comes off an unlucky third in the Ipswich Cup over 2150m three weeks ago. The Mitchell Fry-trained gelding has won six of his 15 races, and with an ounce of luck in his most recent race, he would have added another to his record so we are happy to side with him here on a track that he has won on before. The son of Lucas Cranach is bred to stay, so the 2400m will be of no concern, and he is also a two-time winner on heavy tracks which he will get here. Madeleine Wishart has had five rides aboard the consistent galloper for two wins and a third, and from barrier two, she is going to get every chance to add another win aboard the gelding. We have plenty of respect for the race favourite Stockman, but he is too short in our book.
Glasshouse Handicap Best Tips – #4 Scallopini
One runner who we have always had a soft spot for is Steve O’Dea and Matthew Hoysted’s Scallopini. The six-year-old gelding has won nine of his 28 career starts, including two at this track and three on soft tracks, so he should get conditions to suit. The son of Snitzel was only fair first-up at Eagle Farm in the Moreton Cup at Group 2 level when seven lengths behind Baller on a Good 4, but now back to Listed level, out to his favoured 1400m distance and in a race with plenty of speed, Scallopini will be able to come flashing home over the top of them late. Jag Guthman-Chester has ridden the gelding once before for a third at this track and distance almost three years ago, so if he can jog his memory and produce a similar steer, he will go close to winning the feature. Barrier two will see Scallopini out the back and finishing off the better. $17 appeals.
Sunshine Coast’s Best Bet of the Day – #6 Totally Charmed
We are hoping that the O’Dea/Hoysted stable have a good afternoon at Corbould Park, with Scallopini in the Glasshouse Handicap and Totally Charmed earlier in the day. The six-year-old gelding hasn’t been seen at the races since a terrific win on November 21st at this track over the 1200m, but has been seen at the trials where he has finished second both times. The son of I Am Invincible is a winner of three from five when first-up, he has won five from seven at the Sunshine Coast and is a three-time winner over 1000m at this track, so he looks perfectly placed. Stephanie Thornton has ridden the gelding twice and been victorious both times, with both of those wins coming in succession last November. Shooting for three straight wins, Totally Charmed and the in-form Thornton are going to get every chance from barrier four off the back of a hot speed. We are mindful that this runner has accepted at Doomben on Saturday, so we are hoping they elect to save him for Sunday.
Next Best Bet – #1 Goldsborough
Gary Duncan and Ben Thompson combine in the second with quality three-year-old gelding, Goldsborough. The son of Headwater is one of only a few runners to lower Isotope’s colours back in November, and after two wins this campaign and a third to Kisukano at Doomben, he should be rock-hard fit in his bid to add a fourth career victory to his name on Sunday. Thompson is the in-form hoop in Queensland at the moment, so the fact that he is on the best horse in the race from a great barrier (six), he should be going very close to winning. He should get the ideal run behind Dusty Tycoon, Azzareach and Phantom Spirit, which will see him peel out and be too good. Happy to be on him once again.
Sunshine Coast’s Best Value Bet – #15 Mystic Aroma
Peter & Will Hulbert’s two-year-old filly, Mystic Aroma, lines up in her second career start on Sunday, after an eye-catching debut at Doomben on June 16th. The daughter of Divine Prophet looked to want further, so the drop from 1110m to the 1000m is a slight concern, but going on to a Heavy track will no doubt suit. Barrier 16 of 16 is awkward, but she got back on debut and we expect to see the same again on Sunday in a race with plenty of dash. Mark Du Plessis has ridden the promising filly in the trials, so he knows her well and will be hoping to give connections a maiden win in a nice race. She is a massive each-way chance in the third and will be worth following as she gets out over further.