|Where||Pakenham Racecourse – 420 Nar Nar Goon–Longwarry Rd, Tynong VIC 3813|
|When||Thursday, March 17, 2022|
|First Race||5:45pm AEDT|
It should be a belter of an evening at Pakenham on Thursday, but it is a tough start to the program for punters with four maiden races showcased, so it might be worth following trial form in those early events. On what looks to be a competitive eight-race card, the four-year-old maiden kicks things off at 5:45pm AEDT with Greg Eurell’s O’Lucky and Mick Kent’s Harmsworth the likely favourites. The last race on the card is set to go at 9:15pm.
BEST BET: SAVVY SOVEREIGN
Despite it being 234 days since his last win, we think the Maher & Eustace-trained Savvy Sovereign can win here over the 1400m. He won a jumpout at Camperdown in January and since then has run sixth at Sandown and was beaten a nose two weeks ago at Hamilton over 1200m when starting favourite. He was fourth at the 400m mark last time and made up good ground, so the extra 200m should be of no concern. Greg Eurell’s Huguenot has run three second-placings in a row and is obviously a danger. On his last three occasions Huguenot has been beaten less than a head, which says he is knocking on the door – or does it say he just doesn’t know how to win yet? We will see.
NEXT BEST: ALL SO CLEAR
After two jumpouts and a trial, All So Clear should be pretty fit to contest this event for the strong Hayes team. The son of So You Think x Dorabella last started on Melbourne Cup Day, finishing fourth and only 1.8 lengths off the eventual winner, Spirit Of Gaylard. Before that, his seventh at Caulfield wasn’t too bad either, beaten just 1.7 lengths behind the more than capable Rhinoceros. He is unplaced in three attempts on a good surface, which is a slight concern, but considering the small margins and the class of horses he was running against, that’s a forgive. Danny O’Brien’s Blackcomb is the danger.
BEST VALUE: VITANI
The Wendy Kelly-trained Vitani has pretty good form on good tracks, and despite only winning in less than 10% of her races, she might show up first-up from a spell. She hasn’t set the world alight in recent jumpouts, but there were some quality horses in those fields. Her runner-up finish on August 22 was pretty solid after being back, so we wouldn’t let this one get out to silly odds. She usually settles midfield, while she has placed in 50% of her races. She is the most experienced runner in this field, and that might give her the edge. Maybe each-way is the go here.
Thursday night quaddie for Pakenham
|Pakenham quadrella selections|
|Investment:||$96 for 100%|