Mornington betting tips & quaddie picks | Monday, April 4

Mornington preview

What Mornington Races
Where Mornington Racecourse – 320 Racecourse Rd, Mornington VIC 3931
When Monday, April 4, 2022
First Race 1:30pm AEST

Mornington Racecourse is set to host its second meeting in nine days, when the track hosts an eight-race card on Monday afternoon where the track is rated a Good 4, with the rail out 3m the entire circuit. There was no distinct pattern on Mornington Cup Day when they last race here, so we expect every horse to get their chance when the meeting kicks off at 1:30pm AEST.

Mornington Best Bet – Fine Weather

Our best bet of the day comes up in the opening leg of the quaddie when the Mitchell Freedman-trained Fine Weather looks to build on his recent form. The four-year-old gelding was last seen finishing second beaten a lip at Kilmore on March 24 when running into one better late on. He took up a front-running role on that day, but seemingly his best results come when settling midfield and running on late. With an abundance of early speed in the race, look for Jordan Childs to have him settled midfield with cover, where he should gain a nice tow into the race. Fine Weather has the best turn of foot in the race and with the way the track at Mornington has been playing recently, he should be able to quicken nicely approaching the turn and ultimately proving too hard to hold out.

Best BetRace 5 – Fine Weather (#1) $2.50 with Unibet

Next Best Bet at Mornington – Fortune Follows

Despite needing to lug 63.5kg on Monday, the Patrick Caboche-trained Fortune Follows simply looks too hard to beat over the 1200m sprint. He was beaten under a half-length when carrying the same weight at Kyneton on March 3 when copping a bump at a crucial point and deserved to finish closer, if not win on that day. In the small field of seven, we expect Arron Lynch to have the five-year-old gelding settled in the second half of the field and have him unleash down the centre of the track. He has had seven starts at the track and trip for a win and four minor placings, so we know he will handle the conditions. As long as he can handle the big weight, Fortune Follows looks over the odds at $4.40 with online bookmakers.

Next BestRace 4 – Fortune Follows (#2) $4.40 with Ladbrokes

Best Value Bet at Mornington – Excela Bella

Despite not running in the top three from seven career starts, we’re giving the Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained Excela Bella a chance over 1200m. The three-year-old filly looks set to gain an uncontested lead throughout, something she wasn’t afforded at Kilmore last time out when needing to travel wide with no cover. This is certainly not the hardest maiden going around and if she can see out the 1200m, then Excela Bella looks a good bet at $9 with Neds.

Best ValueRace 3 – Excela Bella (#9) $9 with Neds

Mornington quaddie picks

Mornington quadrella selections
Leg 1: 1-4
Leg 2: 2-6-9
Leg 3: 1-2-3-4-6
Leg 4: 2-4-6-8-9-10
Investment: $180 for 100%

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