Livamol Classic betting tips with form and odds, Saturday

NZ Tips

THE $250,000 Livamol Classic is the final group one of the Hawke’s Bay spring carnival and it has attracted a quality field where Australian form stands up.

Windsor Park Plate winner Gingernuts is the odds-on favourite to win the feature, but standing in its way is the classy Volkstok’n’barrell, former Australian stayer Chance to Dance and a host of quality types.

The Hawke’s Bay Guineas is also on the cards this Saturday and Australian punters could well see some of these runners come over to the Brisbane winter next year.

It’s going to be a great day of racing at Hastings and it kicks off nice and early for Australian punters at 10:37am.

Punters can bet on NZ racing with, which has a $500 bonus bet offer for new customers.

Race 1 – NZ Punter of the Year Handicap (2200m)

Mongolian Legend has won three of its nine starts and it went close at Ruakaka last start. The Baker/Forsman-trained son of Fastnet Rock is bred to be competing at higher levels than this and the improved track conditions should help its chances.

Clarify didn’t come into it last start at Hastings, but it should have needed the run. The Peter McKay-trained five-year-old has yet to win or place on this track, but it made solid ground last start and the rise in distance will help. Consider on an each way basis.

Race 1 tip: Mongolian Legend to win ($3.40) at

Race 2 – R85 Handicap (1200m)

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Former Australian sprinter Bullrush makes a new start in New Zealand and it has attracted attention in markets. We spoke with co-trainer Moira Murdoch earlier this week and she stated this run would be more of a test run to see where it’s at. The $3.90 is too short, but it adds plenty of intrigue.

Killarney has loads of ability and it just needs to race more professionally to take the next step. The Roger James-trained five-year-old is unbeaten in three starts at this distance and the smaller field should help its chances greatly. Look for Killarney to use the inside draw to its advantage.

Race 2 tip: Killarney to win ($3.20) at

Race 3 – R65 Handicap (1200m)

Margot is a four-year-old mare which battled on well last start at Wanganui and it could run well here at each way odds. The Suzy Gordon-trained daughter of Swiss Ace won well in February on a dead track and this conditions will suit. It has experience racing at Hastings so consider for the win.

Black Sav is fresh up after racing in some good grades last campaign. Trained by Lisa Latta, the five-year-old by Savabeel was a winner last October before running sixth at Waverley and Awapuni in rating 75 grade. It drops in grade here where it should be more competitive.

Race 3 tip: Black Sav to win at

Race 4 – R65 Handicap (1600m)

Constant Barrage was well-backed on this track last start when running fifth. The five-year-old didn’t have much room to work with over the concluding stages and stepping out to the mile should help with that. It was a strong maiden winner last preparation and it will surely have its admirers again.

Collaborate has plenty of talent and a serious ownership group behind it. The Arrowfield team will be hoping the High Chaparral gelding can deliver on its form from last campaign when it ran two good races at Ellerslie and Te Rapa. Matt Cameron rides and it will likely be the race favourite.

Race 4 tip: Collaborate to win at

Race 5 – Hawke’s Bay Guineas (1400m)

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Tony Pike has four runners in the Guineas and punters have rallied around Aim Smart. The three-year-old by Smart Missile wasn’t quick enough to catch Prom Queen last start, but this distance is more suitable and it was good enough to defeat Summer Passage by three lengths last campaign. That’s strong Australian form and the $3.20 looks about right.

Stablemate Haussmann has had the benefit of winning at Hastings last start and it did it impressively. The son of Pour Moi scored by almost three lengths in a one-sided affair and although it’s harder here, punters should have been impressed with that performance. It’s currently on the second line of betting at $5.

Race 5 tip: Aim Smart to win ($3.20) at

Race 6 – R85 Handicap (1600m)

Camino Rocoso only battled when resuming at Ruakaka last start, but it’s a past second-up winner and its form last campaign would take it close here. The gelding by Shocking was tipped as a potential Derby type, but that didn’t eventuate and it has found its best level of racing here. Chance at $4.20.

Beefeater is a consistent type which is fresh up here. The son of Alamosa showed good form last preparation which ended with three consecutive placings and it has had two trials to prepare for this. It was group placed last season and that form should stack up well for this.

Race 6 tip: Beefeater to win ($3.20) at

Race 7 – Heart of Hawke’s Bay Special Conditions (1400m)

Dark Princess was a tough winner on debut by 1.3 lengths and it was finishing quickly down the outside at Hastings last start. The Jeff Lynds-trained four-year-old has also won two trials throughout its career so the speed is there and it will enjoy the extra distance. It just needs some early luck from the barrier, but it will likely drop back and run on.

Secret Squirrel has placed in all four race day starts, including on debut behind Dark Princess. The son of Showcasing hasn’t had the best of luck since then, but it goes forward and it could provide the speed in a tough race. Not the worst chance in this.

Race 7 tip: Dark Princess to win at

Race 8 – Group 1 Livamol Classic (2040m)

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Gingernuts was impressive and superior when winning the Windsor Park Plate last start and it’s heading back to Australia. The Te Akau-raced four-year-old has all the class in the world having won the Rosehill Guineas last season and its raw ability gets it over the line. There’s still some room for improvement which is scary and it only needs early luck from out wide to feature. Expect Opie Bosson to drag it back to the tail and come with one big run late.

Chance to Dance was an upset winner first time in New Zealand last start, but the former Aussie has plenty of class. It ran fourth in the Adelaide Cup in March and although its form wasn’t up with the best in Victoria, it still showed ability at the top level. It got a soft kill at Pukekohe last start and it will derive plenty of benefit from that. Stablemate to Gingernuts, expect Chance to Dance to ensure there’s some pace on up front.

Race 8 tip: Gingernuts to win ($2) at

Race 9 – Spring Spring Open Handicap (1400m)

Francaletta was beaten on its merits behind Dolcetto last start, but it didn’t appreciate the conditions. The Baker/Forsman-trained five-year-old has won five of its seven starts to date and it has beaten some nice types recently including former Australian sprinter Miss Wilson. Firmer conditions suit and it gets in with only 53kg on its back. Very tough to beat at $3.20.

Miss Wilson has been set for this year from the start of the spring and it looks a handy each way chance. The John Bary-trained five-year-old spent some time in Australia where it had mixed success and it finished only 3.4 lengths behind Gingernuts last start. This is more of its go and it has the ability to turn the tables on Francaletta after running second to it on the first day of the carnival.

Race 9 tip: Francaletta to win ($3.20) at

Race 10 – R75 Handicap (1400m)

Break My Stride is a past winner fresh up and it showed good form last campaign. It won at Ellerslie by 2.8 lengths before getting severely checked in its next start. That forced connections to give it a spell and there are plenty of expectations this time around. Consider at a nice price of $5.

Flamingo won its first two race day starts with big finishes and it made good ground behind top-liner Deels in Heels last start. The well-bred mare by Pins is expected to be winning at this time of the year and it gets in with a nice weight of only 54.5kg. That makes it a winning chance at $4.50.

Race 10 tip: Flamingo to win ($4.50) at

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