Geelong racing preview & best bets | Thursday, September 29

Geelong racing preview

What Geelong Races
Where Geelong Racecourse – 99 Breakwater Rd, Breakwater VIC 3219
When Thursday, September 29, 2022
First Race 12:20pm AEST

Geelong will host a massive 10-race program on Thursday as the solitary Victorian meeting for the day. The track is currently rated a Soft 5, and even though there is rain in the forecast for Wednesday, it should be a fine day on raceday. The rail has gone out to the 8m position from the 1700m to the 800m and will be out in the 11m position for the remainder of the course. Racing will commence at 12:20pm AEST.

Best Bet: Greece

We were with Greece from the Ciaron Maher & David Eustace stable on Tuesday before the Echuca meeting was abandoned, so we will be with her again at Geelong. This three-year-old filly has only been before the starter once in her short career, in a Group 2 Reisling Stakes where she finished last by 11 lengths. After her debut race, this daughter of I Am Invincible was spelled for six months and now lines up in a $37,500 maiden plate that looks to be a relatively easy kill. This girl contested a jump-out at Cranbourne on September 12 where she was hard held for the entirety of the 800m trial, even though she led and won it very easily, suggesting this filly is well above average. The form Victorian-based jockey, Jamie Kah, will take the ride on this filly, which is another huge push.

Best Bet

Race 5 – Greece silks#11 Greece (12)

3yo Filly | T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace | J: Jamie Kah (55kg)

$2.15 with Bet365

Next Best Bet: Yaki Ishi

Our next best bet for the Geelong card comes up in race two in a three-year-old maiden plate over 1447m, where we will be siding with Yaki Ishi. The Robbie Griffiths & Mathew de Kock-trained gelding will be facing the starter for the fifth time in his short career, and this race will be his second-up run for this preparation. In this son of Maurice’s first preparation he contested the Group 2 VRC Sires’ Produce Stakes and finished third, a length off the winner, Letsrollthedice, while beating home many subsequent winners coming out of that field. Jye McNeil will stick with this gelding after piloting him to second place by the barest of margins at Sandown last start, which is another positive sign.

Next Best

Race 2 – Yaki Ishi silks#7 Yaki Ishi (5)

3yo Gelding | T: Robert Griffiths & Mathew de Kock | J: Jye McNeil (58kg)

$3 with Neds

Best Value Bet: Ballynora

In the sixth race of the day we have found another good bet on the card with the Phillip Stokes-trained Ballynora returning from a five-month spell in a Class 1 Handicap over 1247m. This four-year-old mare has contested much better races what she will contest here, considering she ran in the Listed Desirable Stakes last November and the Listed Adelaide Guineas in May of this year. If this daughter of Fastnet Rock returns in good order and produces first-up like she usually does, recording a win and a place from three resuming runs, we should be seeing her notch career win number two.

Best Value

Race 6 – Ballynora silks#7 Ballynora (10)

4yo Mare | T: Phillip Stokes | J: Sheridan Clarke (54.5kg)

$5.50 with Bet365

Thursday quaddie picks for Geelong

Geelong quadrella selections

Thursday, September 29, 2022

  1. 2-4-5-8
  2. 3-7-9-11
  3. 5-8-10
  4. 5-7-9-11-13

Investment: $240 for 100%

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