|What||Eagle Farm Races|
|Where||Eagle Farm Racecourse – 230 Lancaster Rd, Ascot QLD 4007|
|When||Saturday, September 4, 2021|
|First Race||11:48pm AEST|
HorseBetting’s Queensland racing analyst brings you his best bets, value bet and quaddie numbers for Saturday’s nine-race meeting at Eagle Farm. The rail moves back into the true position and the track is rated a Good 4. Despite this meeting being the first Saturday race day in Spring, the fields lack depth, with only 76 final acceptances over the nine races, with an average field size of 8.4. The opening race of the day is set to jump at 11:48am AEST.
Best Bet at Eagle Farm: Navy Cross
Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott’s five-year-old Navy Cross does not win out of turn, with the gelding’s last victory coming back in May 2020, but he will not find an easier race than this anytime soon. The son of I Am Invincible ran fourth in each of his last two starts and wasn’t beaten far in either, with both of those being in metropolitan races. Navy Cross’ most recent start at Kembla Grange was over 2000m, where he led the field throughout before being run down late as the field ran a track record, so we know he went quick. He gets out to 2200m and from barrier three should get the lead all to himself once again, which will allow James Orman to control the tempo and kick away in the straight. Navy Cross has had two starts at the track for a win and a third, with the latter coming at Group 3 level in the Rough Habit Plate behind Ballistic Boy and Supergiant. He should lead all of the way.
Next Best Bet at Eagle Farm: Rhapsody Rose
While there may only be nine starters in this QTIS 3YO Handicap, it is arguably the race of the afternoon. Chris Munce’s filly Rhapsody Rose had a good campaign early in the Brisbane Winter Carnival, winning the Listed Bill Carter Stakes at Doomben a fortnight after running a close third in the Group 3 Ken Russell Memorial Classic on the Gold Coast behind Subterranean and Ranch Hand. The daughter of Star Witness was beaten less than four lengths in the Group 2 BRC Sires’ Produce Stakes over 1400m at Eagle Farm, with subsequent Group 1 winner Converge finishing only 3.5 lengths in front of her. Rhapsody Rose has drawn wide in barrier nine for Ryan Maloney, but it is only a small field and so she shouldn’t be caught out on a limb for too long. With even luck from the gate and provided the 1000m is not too sharp first-up, she should take some real beating in this.
Best Value Bet at Eagle Farm: Avowal
The biggest field of the afternoon goes around in the final race of the day, and it is about the only race we can find any each-way value in. Lindsay Hatch and Bobby El-Issa combine with Avowal, who was a brilliant winner two starts back and then looked home and hosed last time out before getting run down very late by Barney’s Law. Avowal’s last three runs have been at this track and trip and he hasn’t missed the places, partly thanks to a racing style which will see him roll along in front and take some serious running down again. He rises significantly in weight from 51kg to 58.5kg, but he gets the services of a senior rider and should make his own luck again from barrier six.
Saturday quaddie tips for Eagle Farm
|Eagle Farm quadrella selections|
|Investment:||$360 for 100%|