2021 Randwick Guineas runner-by-runner preview | Randwick R7

Aegon

What 2021 Randwick Guineas
Where Royal Randwick Racecourse – Alison Rd, Randwick NSW 2031
When Saturday, March 6, 2021 | 4:25pm AEDT | Race 7
Prizemoney $1,000,000
Distance 1600m
Status Group 1
Race Conditions Set weights; 3Y0
2020 Winner Shadow Hero – 56.5kg (3) | Jockey: Joshua Parr | Trainer: Mark Newnham

Randwick Guineas 2021 betting preview

A field of 13 three-year-olds will face the starter in this Saturday’s Group 1 Randwick Guineas. Undefeated Kiwi galloper Aegon is the $2.40 favourite after winning well in the Hobartville Stakes a fortnight ago. The speed looks to come from Peltzer from the outside alley, while Marsannay and Harmony Rose will also be prominent.


1 – Aegon (8)

Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman’s undefeated son of Sacred Falls looks to be lengths better than what we have to offer in Australia. The Group 1 NZ 2000 Guineas winner went on to win the Karaka Millions 3YO Classic, beating the talented Amarelinha. He then came across the Tasman and won the Hobartville by two lengths under light riding a fortnight ago. Drawn in barrier eight under Hugh Bowman, Aegon should get the ideal run in transit as he brings up his second Group 1 win.


2 – King’s Legacy (3)

King’s Legacy was a force to be reckoned with 12 months ago, winning both the Champagne Stakes and Sires’ Produce Stakes, but hasn’t replicated that form since. The Redoute’s Choice colt was only fair in the Hobartville last start and so will need to come through that with plenty of improvement. He is undefeated at Randwick, however.


3 – North Pacific (4)

The Golden Rose runner-up looked to have come back well in the Hobartville but peaked slightly late. Up to the mile will present North Pacific with a nice shot at them in the straight, and he has drawn well for James McDonald, but the 1400m might be his best trip.


4 – Prime Star (11)

The 2020 Inglis Millennium winner ran second to Peltzer in the Bondi Stakes at this track and trip in the spring and has placed in both runs this preparation, including a third to Aegon last start. He is a consistent gelding, but we fear he might be better suited to a wet track.


5 – Peltzer (13)

Peltzer comes into this with a perfect record at Randwick from five starts, and he is one from one at the mile after claiming the Bondi Stakes three starts back. Tim Clark knows the horse well and rates him to perfection each start; however, the colt was no match for the race favourite last time out, and the wide alley makes it hard for us to see him sticking out the mile again.


6 – Lion’s Roar (10)

John O’Shea’s gelding got a pass mark when fresh in the Hobartville, finishing off nicely into fifth. He has won at the mile before and finished second in his only other start at this track in the Group 1 Spring Champion in October. Lion’s Roar will get back in the run and do his best work late, but expect him to peak next start in the Rosehill Guineas.


7 – Mo’unga (2)

Mo’unga put in a good effort when third to Tagaloa in the C.S. Hayes Stakes at Flemington first up, and he is bound to improve off that. Stepping out to the mile will suit, and the in-form Tommy Berry does the steering. This Savabeel colt has had a fair wrap on him his entire career, and this season is likely to see him go to the next level.


8 – The Elanora (12)

Chris Waller’s The Elanora was beaten 4.3 lengths in the Hobartville last start and looks better suited over further. He does have a nice racing record, with four wins from seven starts, and he won his only previous start at the mile. However, he looks a touch outclassed.


9 – Bucharest (9)

This son of Miss Finland ran third in the Spring Champion Stakes behind Montefilia and Lion’s Roar and looked to be a nice prospect, but he failed first up when finishing seven lengths off Poetic Charmer. Hard to entertain.


10 – Marsannay (1)

The flashy chestnut colt was an all-the-way winner last start on the Kensington track over 1550m, but this is a clear class rise and the dry track isn’t likely to suit. He will box seat in the run but lacks the quality to figure in the finish.


11 – Here To Shock (7)

Brent Stanley’s colt is aptly named, as we will be shocked if he beats most of these home.


12 – Wheelhouse (6)

The son of Pierro has won just the one start and finished second in another three races. He wasn’t good enough in a Benchmark 78 last time out, so the Group 1 challenge should be well beyond him.


13 – Harmony Rose (9)

The sole filly in the field looks to be a genuine chance as she heads toward the ATC Oaks. She was a nice winner when fresh on the Kensington track, beating Fashchanel. She will be handy from barrier nine and is likely to figure in the finish.



Best bets for 2021 Randwick Guineas

$100 betting strategy
$100 win: Aegon

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