|What||Melbourne Cup Day Plate|
|Where||Flemington Racecourse – Flemington VIC, 3031|
|When||Melbourne Cup Day, Tuesday, November 3, 2020 | 4:00pm AEDT | Race 8|
|Race Conditions||Handicap, Minimum Weight 56kg|
|2019 Winner||Yulong Prince (SAF) – 58kg (2) | Jockey: Nahs Rawiller | Trainer: Chris Waller|
2020 Furphy Plate Horse Betting Preview
Outside of the Lexus Melbourne Cup, this race is the highlight of the afternoon. Run over 1800m at Listed level, the strong field of 14 all come through strong races, which will make for a cracking spectacle. Purple Sector is the current favourite, ahead of Homesman, Harbour Views and Junipal. Gold Fields will lead from out in the deep, while Odeon and Homesman look to box seat.
The Melbourne Cup Day Plate is set to take place at 4:00pm AEDT
Bet on the 2020 Melbourne cup
2020 Melbourne Cup Day Plate Runner-By-Runner Guide
#1 Homesman (4)
The last start Crystal Mile winner at The Valley was dominant that day on a leader’s track, and he does rise 3kg here. From barrier 4, Ben Melham will be box seating and giving the horse every chance. He’s a group 1 winner over 1800m, so he’s a deserving top weight. Top chance.
#2 Pacodali (9)
Beaten a fair way first-up, but he naturally improves with each run, so we can expect a better showing here. He goes well over 1800m and Flemington will be a help. We don’t think he is going well enough.
#3 So Si Bon (2)
He’s the ultimate tease this bloke. He should’ve won at The Valley on Manikato night, and he had every chance to and even hit the front in the straight, but went down three-tenths of a length. We can’t have him; he’s a non-winner.
#4 Kiwia (14)
Hit the line really well in the Coongy Cup last start, but drops back to 1800m. If this was 2200m, we’d be keen on his chances, but not at 1800m.
#5 Captain Cook (1)
He was backed as if unbeatable at his latest start at Moonee Valley, got the run of the race and ran stone motherless. He’ll be fitter third up, but he needs to find plenty. He can’t possibly win.
#6 Junipal (6)
This horse is running in a rich vein of form at the moment, winning dominantly in back-to-back races, before finishing midfield in the Toorak last start. In 2017, he finished 0.1 of a length off Vow And Declare over this track and trip, and last year he wasn’t beaten all that far in this race behind Yulong Prince who won Saturday’s Cantala Mile. He’s a huge chance in this.
#7 Mr Satchmo (10)
Mr Satchmo joins the Chris Waller yard from France and brings some questionable form over. It’s hard to line up and we simply don’t know enough about him, but his record and previous runs suggests he won’t be figuring here.
#8 Harbour Views (7)
Blinkers on first time for this boy is a huge plus. Six months ago we were talking him up as a Caulfield Cup prospect, so he has to be a chance here based on early ability. He finished over 2L off Russian Camelot at his latest, and was considered a live chance if he gained a start in the Cantala. Each-way all day.
#9 – Plein Ciel (11)
He’s one of a few to tick the 1800m box, but his form just hasn’t been good enough of late. He’s better suited to smaller tracks and lesser grade.
#10 Gold Fields (15)
From the outside alley he is the leader in the race, but he struggles at Flemington and looks better suited over 1600m. He’ll be in it for a long way, but he can’t win.
#11 – Looks Like Elvis
#12 – Galaxy Raider (12)
Galaxy Raider absolutely motored late last start to grab second ahead of So Si Bon and he drops 2.5kg here. Flemington is the track he does his best work at, but the 1800m is a query. From gate 12, he’ll get back and be charging late. If he sees out a strong 1800m, he’s a big chance.
#13 Odeon (3)
Comes off a gallant second in the Cranbourne Cup at his latest behind Future Score who went well at Group 3 level on Saturday. 1800m suits him, but the drop in distance from 2025m has us questioning his chances. He’ll box seat from barrier 3, but we have him closer to $18 than $12.
#14 Game Keeper (5)
Last campaign this horse only knew how to win, winning four on the trot in good grade. This campaign has been not quite as good, but the four weeks between runs and drop back to 1800m is likely to suit, as we don’t think he goes well over much further. He’s in a good stable and has some each way claims.
#15 Purple Sector (8)
The race favourite rounds the field out here after a brilliant win at Randwick on Caulfield Cup Day. The rise in distance to 1800m should suit him ideally, and he maps well from barrier 8 and should be able to settle midfield under Craig Williams. While we can’t have him this short, he is a definite winning chance.
Bet on the 2020 Melbourne cup
|$100 Betting Strategy|
|$25 boxed trifecta:||1-6-8-15|