Sir John Monash Stakes betting at Caulfield with form and tips
THE Sir John Monash Stakes is the highlight of the day at Caulfield this Saturday as the field of 16 will fly over the sprint distance.
The $160,000 weight-for-age feature includes the return of Lord of the Sky which is on the comeback trail after three consecutive last-place finishes. The current favourite is Fast ‘n’ Rocking which will be ridden by Dwayne Dunn and Sportsbet.com.au is offering a best odds special.
The jockeys’ premiership title is in full swing with Craig Williams narrowly ahead of Dwayne Dunn, and Sportsbet is offering the best odds across all Australian totes on all Dunn rides. He has a good book of rides so punters should get involved with the promotion.
Race 1 starts at 11.50am with the TROA Supports Jockeys Trust Handicap where it’s a spirited betting affair.
Race 1 – TROA Supports Jockeys Trust 2YO Handicap (1200m)
The Stuart Webb-trained Wazzenme won on debut before finishing second behind the talented Yu Long Sheng Hui at Caulfield last start. The two-year-old colt has been well supported after opening at $4.80 and is currently paying $4.40. It has drawn well for Caulfield and the capable Michael Walker takes the ride. Top chance.
Sebrikka produced a big finish to win at Ballarat last start, but the odds might be a touch too short. The Hayes/Dabernig-trained filly is currently paying $4, which is on the shorter side of value, but the win was impressive. It took on tough company on debut and the 1.5kg claim will be a handy assist.
Lessyd is fresh up for Tony McEvoy and it gives Dwayne Dunn an early chance for Sportsbet punters. The two-year-old gelding flashed home for third at Caulfield in the Inglis 2YO last start and it has good form in its other starts. Would have liked to see more tote support, but the $9.50 is good each way value.
Race 1 tip: Wazzenme to win ($4.40) at Crownbet.com.au
Race 2 – ACJC 3YO Handicap (1200m)
Anatola was well-supported to win last start at Caulfield, but it was hampered around the turn and lost all chance. The well-bred filly by More Than Ready won its first two starts by a combined margin of 5.25 lengths and it only needs some luck from the wide draw to feature in this. Currently on the second line of betting at $4.80.
Majestic Lass will get the benefit of the inside draw and it’s coming off an impressive 1.75-length win. The Hayes/Dabernig-trained filly is by Redoute’s Choice and any increase in distance will be welcomed in the future, but it still looks a solid chance at the 1200m. Current equal-favourite at $4.20.
Lady Esprit hasn’t been far away in two starts this preparation and the slight increase in distance will be ideal. The Ciaron Maher-trained filly fought well for third last start on this track and it drops in weight to 54.5kg. It can handle all track conditions and punters have backed it into $4.20.
Race 2 tip: Majestic Lass to win ($4.20) at Sportsbet.com.au
Race 3 – Wilson Medic One 3YO Handicap (2000m)
Hursley was a strong winner for Chris Waller last start and it should have strengthened from that outing. The three-year-old gelding has won on all track surfaces including soft and heavy, which should give it a distinct advantage in this. $4.40 available with bookmakers.
Fearless Raider has attracted plenty of attention at $3.60 in the betting. The three-year-old by Rebel Raider was running home well behind Hursley last start and another start at the distance will suit. Dwayne Dunn rides so punters will get the best odds available and it looks a strong staying type for the future.
O’Lonera finished one better than Fearless Raider last start and that form line should stack up nicely for this. The Cindy Alderson-trained gelding has placed in both starts at this distance and it looms as a solid place chance at $2.25. $6 for the win looks a touch short based on its breeding.
Race 3 tip: Fearless Raider to win ($3.60) at Sportsbet.com.au
Race 4 – Rockmount Pretraining Handicap (2000m)
Bondeiger has been costly to punters this season, but it’s a four-year-old with talent and it battled on well last start. The Darren Weir-trained horse has won only two from 16, but one of those wins came on this track and getting Craig Williams in the saddle is a big bonus. It opened at $5.50 and has drifted out to $6.50.
Longeron opened at $3.60 and has been backed steadily into $3.40. The Hawkes-trained gelding has won back-to-back races and it bolted in by 3.25 lengths at this track last time out. That win was extremely impressive and having five wins on a slow track will make it tough to beat. Its price should only drop with Dunn in the saddle, but we’re getting the best price available at Sportsbet.
Self Sense is a professional seven-time winner which has won twice on this track. The five-year-old was 3.75 lengths behind Longeron last start and whilst it will be tough to overcome that deficit in one run, it holds each way value at $8. Consider in trifecta bets.
Race 4 tip: Longeron to win ($3.40) at Sportsbet.com.au
Race 5 – TAB Supports Jockeys Trust Handicap (1400m)
Divine Mr Artie has been knocking on the door of a win after three consecutive second placings. The Brendan McCarthy-trained gelding flew home late to narrowly miss last start and although this field looks slightly stronger, you can’t discount its chances and Jordan Childs takes 1.5kg off its back. $6.50 in the betting looks fair.
Mr Individual has been mixing its form this campaign, but in much stronger fields. The three-year-old colt finished fourth in the Sunshine Coast Guineas last start and that form should stack up nicely here. It had no luck in the Queensland Guineas behind Tsaritsa and it has two wins on a slow surface. Opened at $3.60 and has firmed into $3.40 – looks tough to beat.
Makatiti scored the win against a similar field last start, but it does rise up 4kg in weight. Craig Williams sticks with it which is positive and it’s paying around the same odds as it did last time out. Currently at $8.50 with bookmakers.
Race 5 tip: Mr Individual to win ($3.40) at WilliamHill.com.au
Race 6 – Jockeys Trust R78 Plate (1400m)
Sang Choi Bao is a long-shot chance at $13 and that price represents value. The Jason Warren-trained gelding finished second at Pakenham last start and it could show some cheek from the inside draw. Don’t discount at the nice odds.
Camdus is an impressive gelding which should have won last time out at Caulfield. The Darren Weir-trained runner was wide without cover and still battled on well to finish second behind Heza Ripper. It would be shorter than the $4 being offered by bookmakers had it drawn closer than 17, but it is adaptable so consider for the win.
Marwood has firmed in from its opening price of $6.50. The Mitchell Freedman-trained gelding is now at $6 following a third placing in rating 90 grade last start. It drops significantly back in grade for this and it has good wet track form. Gets 2kg off its back and it looms as a major threat.
Race 6 tip: Marwood to place ($2.25) at Bet365.com.au
Race 7 – Lucrf Super Supports Jockeys Plate (1400m)
Ulmann has a poor winning record of two wins from 15 starts, but it tried hard behind race-rival Duke Of Brunswick last start and it could turn the tables. The four-year-old is from the impressive Darren Weir stables and you can’t rule any runner of his at the moment. The inside draw suits and it has been backed from $3.20 into $3.
Duke Of Brunswick looks a strong chance here at the same conditions as last start. The Mick Price-trained gelding carries the same weight and faces a similar field, so the result should be similar. The six-time winner loves Caulfield and Dwayne Dunn takes the ride. Strong chance at $2.60 despite drifting from $2.50.
The New Boy is far from that, but it brings in plenty of experience and is at a double-figure price. The Danny O’Brien-trained seven-year-old has won seven from 56 starts and it rarely goes a bad race at Caulfield. Don’t discount at $12.
Race 7 tip: Duke Of Brunswick to win ($2.60) at Sportsbet.com.au
Race 8 – Sir John Monash Stakes (1100m)
Fast ‘n’ Rocking is the current $4.60 favourite following its fourth in the Group 1 Goodwood Handicap at Morphettville. The five-year-old is a three-time winner on this track and despite its poor winning record, it has a fair amount of class. It ran fourth in the Group 1 William Reid behind Flamberge and that form will go nicely in this.
Lord Of The Sky is on the comeback trail after three consecutive last-place finishes. The Robbie Laing-trained horse has been well backed at $7 and the amount of money on the tote suggests it has come back in strong order. Any easing of the track will help its chances.
Wild Rain is another fresh up runner which has only placed in one of four fresh runs, but has been well supported at $6 in the market. The Mark Kavanagh-trained mare has plenty of speed so the distance suits and it showed plenty of toe when winning the Doveton Stakes at Sandown last preparation. Handy each way chance in this.
Race 8 tip: Fast ‘n’ Rocking to win ($4.60) at Crownbet.com.au
Race 9 – Mypunter.com 4YO Handicap (1200m)
Vibrant Rouge needed both runs back from a spell and it flashed home late behind A Lotta Love last start. The Michael Kent-trained mare has yet to win in nine starts on this track, but it goes best at this distance, but it will need a good track. Opened at $8.50 and is currently $7.50 so the support is there.
Chiavari has won four from 20 with nine placings. The Nick Harnett-trained mare is a consistent type which has good wet track form and it showed great toughness when running second behind A Lotta Love last start. Damien Oliver takes the ride at a nice weight so consider at $7.50.
Beirut must be considered having won its last three starts. The Henry Dwyer-trained mare put 3.25 lengths on its opposition last time out and it has the ability to handle the rise in class. The daughter of Lonhro has plenty of support at $3.30 and it should run well.
Race 9 tip: Chiavari to win ($7.50) at Sportsbet.com.au