Run to the Rose betting tips, form and updated odds, September 9
SOME of Australia’s most promising horses are in action this Saturday in the Run to the Rose and the Theo Marks Stakes at Rosehill.
The talented three-year-olds are in action in the Run to the Rose which is a key lead-in race for the Group 1 Golden Rose later this season.
Pariah and Menari look the two top betting chances, but it’s a wide open race which also includes Invader, Qiji Phoenix and Kementari.
The Theo Marks has attracted only a small field of eight for the $200,000, but it includes Foxplay which ran second behind Winx last start and also the promising Cannyescent which looks set to step up to the next level after a consistent campaign and we have tips for the big race.
Punters can bet on every race at Rosehill this Saturday and find the best odds with Topbetta.com.au.
Race 1 – Schweppes Handicap (1500m)
Karavali scored a good win over Canberra last start and that form should hold up at this level. The Kris Lees-trained former New Zealand runner has form behind Bonneval and it just needed some time to adjust to its new environment in Australia. Hugh Bowman rides at 60.5kg and expect a big effort.
Cambage was too good for them at Hawkesbury last start and its form prior came against some quality types. The four-year-old ran in the Adrian Knox where it finished sixth before running in the ATC Oaks. It will need more distance, but its last start was encouraging and it should be well backed.
Race 1 tip: Karavali to win at Topbetta.com.au
Race 2 – Tab Highway Handicap (1200m)
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Suncraze capped off some consistent form with a big win last start. The Melanie O’Gorman-trained four-year-old scored by three lengths at Randwick which was much deserved having finishing second in its prior six starts. It has a great turn-of-foot and the only thing standing in its way is the 59kg.
Mossman Gorge has come of age this season with back-to-back wins. The Matthew Dale-trained runner won at Kembla Grange in August before winning again later that month at Rosehill in the Highway Handicap. The son of Mossman faced a tough field on that occasion and it gets a significant weight advantage over Suncraze.
Race 2 tip: Suncraze to win at Sportsbet.com.au
Race 3 – Rydges Parramatta Handicap (1800m)
Not Only Florina didn’t quite find its European form at Caulfield last start, but it was run off its feet and this race looks much easier. The Lindsay Park-trained import has great international form with a win over Endless Summer in France. Expect it to strip fitter for this and the betting picture will tell the full story.
Electric Fusion has won only five of its 54 starts to date, but it could offer some each way value. The Trudi Christie-trained battler went close at Sandown last start against some nice types and it’s arguably in the form of its life. Good odds should be on offer.
Race 3 tip: Not Only Florina to win at CrownBet.com.au
Race 4 – Kari Stan Fox Stakes (1500m)
Addictive Nature looked to have something in store when winning last start and it looms as a major chance here. The Bjorn Baker-trained three-year-old dug deep to beat Assimilate and that form looks good for this. The son of Savabeel has stakes quality written all over it and it can continue its winning ways.
Sanctioned is an interesting runner at the bottom of the form page. The James Cummings-trained colt didn’t show much in the Up and Coming Stakes, but betting suggested it may have needed the run. Its win prior at Newcastle was good, albeit in a weaker field than this, but Hugh Bowman rides and there’s some intrigue with this runner.
Race 4 tip: Addictive Nature to win at Ladbrokes.com.au
Race 5 – Theo Marks Stakes (1300m)
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Foxplay ran a credible race behind champion Winx last start and it deserves plenty of attention in the market. The Chris Waller-trained four-year-old is a true professional which has won five of its 14 starts and two of them have come on this track. Its win in the Group 1 Queen of the Turf was classy, but it does rise in weight to 59kg and it’s not the biggest mare running around.
Cannyescent is the new horse on the scene and could well have won four straight leading into this. The Lindsay Park-trained runner had little luck in the Aurie’s Star down the Flemington straight last start and its form prior included three consecutive wins. They came in much easier grades than this, but it gets in with only 53kg and it has a turn-of-foot good enough to beat most of these.
Race 5 tip: Cannyescent to place at Topbetta.com.au
Race 6 – Irresistible Pools Sheraco Stakes (1200m)
Bonny O’Reilly showed its class when winning last start at Rosehill, but luck will need to play a factor here. The Baker-trained five-year-old has won eight from 12 starts in a stellar career, but it will need to do early work from out wide in barrier 12. If it can get to the front and slow them down, it will go close with only 55kg on its back.
Omei Sword is either an unlucky horse or it’s overrated. We’ll go with the former as it stumbled at the start last time out at Randwick, all but expelling its winning chances. The Waller-trained mare has won only two from eight starts which has frustrated punters at the best of times, but it will likely drop back from the draw and get a nice drag into the race. It needs the speed on up front in order to win.
Race 6 tip: Bonny O’Reilly to place at Bet365.com
Race 7 – The Run to the Rose (1200m)
Pariah cruised to victory in the San Domenico Stakes last start at Rosehill and it looks to have a big three-year-old season in store. The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained colt sat off the speed which was a healthy tempo, but it cantered up to them in the straight and went straight by. It meets a slightly harder field here, but it has drawn well in barrier three and the race looks another ideal target.
Menari has a stack of pace, but isn’t the most consistent type. It scored an impressive 1.3-length victory over race-rival Siege of Quebec last start and its form prior included a poor run in the Sires’ Produce. It was relegated from third place in the Golden Slipper so take nothing away from that run and it will bring the speed from out wide in barrier 11. Just needs everything to go its way.
Race 7 tip: Pariah to win at Sportsbet.com.au
Race 8 – Fugen Handicap (1200m)
Sir Plush has been expensive for punters over its last few starts, but don’t drop it just yet. The Baker-trained runner took on the likes of Bonny O’Reilly last start and its form earlier this campaign is a good guide. It ran second behind Calanda and subsequent winner Washington Heights. That form will take it close.
Tango Rain defied a betting drift to score last start at Rosehill and it brings the class. The Gerald Ryan-trained entire went to the front and kicked strongly over the concluding stages. It has form around the likes of Star Turn and Sangiovese, so there’s no reason why it can’t win again from a good draw.
Race 8 tip: Tango Rain to win at Topbetta.com.au
Race 9 – Tabcorp Handicap (1400m)
The Pharoah lost no admirers last start when setting a strong tempo and coming to the end of its run late. The Ryan-trained four-year-old was a stylish winner prior to that run and that form should take it close. The big field should suit and it could provide the pace if it crosses from out wide.
Interlocuter resumes here for James Cummings and there’s plenty of hype surrounding it. The imported runner goes well fresh up and scored two effortless wins last time in preparation. Those came in average grades and longer distances, but it could pay to follow any big market moves.
Race 9 tip: Interlocuter to win at WilliamHill.com.au