THE Festival Stakes is being run at Rosehill this Saturday and we have free racing tips, form and odds for the entire card.
Race field numbers are surprisingly high this Saturday which is a great sign and punters will get the best value on offer from bookmakers.
With races such as the Golden Slipper fast approaching, some of the more enterprising two-year-olds are starting to step out and that’s making for exciting racing in Sydney.
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Race 1 – Summer Hospitality Plate (1100m)
Miss Invincible is on debut for Bjorn Baker and it has been well-favoured with bookmakers. The I Am Invincible filly has won two trials leading into this and although trial form doesn’t always stack up on race day, it is a positive here. $2.35 with bookmakers after opening at $2.30.
Rheingau finished third on debut behind Dynamited and that form has stacked up well since. The James Cummings stable is firing with its juveniles this season and dropping in weight from 58kg to 56kg is going to help here. Nice each way chance at $5.
Race 1 tip: Rheingau to place ($1.75) at CrownBet.com.au
Race 2 – BM75 Handicap (1200m)
Whypeeo has shown good form in Queensland, but it’s facing a rise in class now. The Toby Edmonds-trained three-year-old has won three of its four starts and has looked impressive in doing so. It won as the $1.16 chance last start at Doomben and the smaller field here should help. $2.50 is a touch short of value, but it’s an interesting runner.
Epidemic put pay to the favourite Seaway at Randwick last start and it could kick on with it now. The Cummings-trained filly by Lonhro won by two lengths in maiden grade and its form prior included a fourth placing behind Champagne Cuddles. That’s strong form in what should be a tough race.
Race 2 tip: Epidemic to win ($3.90) at Neds.com.au
Race 3 – BM85 Handicap (2400m)
Imperial Aviator is an imported runner having its third Australian start for the Waterhouse/Bott team. The five-year-old went close behind Lord Kingsley last start at Rosehill and getting the extra distance here looks ideal. Consider at a nice price of $3.80.
Great Glen is nearing its peak after four runs this campaign. The Chris Waller-trained import improved nicely to run third behind race-rival Vassal, but it will enjoy the weight allowance this time around. It adds another winning chance to an even field.
Race 3 tip: Imperial Aviator to win ($3.80) at Neds.com.au
Race 4 – Highway Handicap (1200m)
Bel Diablo has drawn the car park, but Jason Collett is riding in good form and he could work his magic. The three-year-old gelding finished fourth last time out behind Equal Balance and it looks a winning chance with some luck here.
Equal Balance is the current favourite despite being on the ballot after winning last start. The Kurt Goldman-trained runner won a similar race last start and it has been given 61.5kg for this, but remains number 22 on the ballot. If it does get a run it’s a strong chance.
Race 4 tip: Bel Diablo to win ($5.50) at Sportsbet.com.au
Race 5 – BM85 Handicap (1500m)
Sedanzer was heavily backed when winning fresh up last start and it’s unbeaten second up. The four-year-old returned in fine style with a well-timed finish to beat Slow Burn by a neck. The form out of that race looks good for this and its fifth in the Schweppes Oaks brings another good form line. Currently $3.40 with bookies.
Redouble has hit a purple patch of form after winning its last two. The Baker-trained gelding sat three-wide and still proved too tough for them at Rosehill last start and it’s capable of scoring the hat-trick. This looks slightly harder, but consider the $4.80.
Race 5 tip: Sedanzer to win ($3.40) at CrownBet.com.au
Race 6 – ATC Cup (2000m)
Savapinski is the clear top pick for most punters after its win at Flemington last start. The front-running stayer won the Matriarch Stakes by 2.75 lengths and that form should be the best form guide for this. It makes its own luck out in front and although it’s meeting a handy field here, the light weight helps its chances.
Black on Gold ran Interlocuter close last start and that form must be considered. The Waller-trained gelding by Sebring has won six of its 19 starts in what has been a consistent career to date. We’re expecting that form to hold down at 53kg.
Race 6 tip: Savapinski to win ($2.15) at Neds.com.au
Race 7 – Festival Stakes (1500m)
Chris Waller lines up imported runner Mister Sea Wolf, which has won six of its 23 starts in Europe. The nicely-bred gelding placed at stakes level two starts back in July and its best form comes fresh up with six starts for three wins and two placings. It certainly adds some intrigue at the weights.
The form of Cabeza de Vaca has been excellent this campaign, which includes two wins and five straight. The six-year-old went forward last start and dictated terms. Its win fresh up came over the talented Supply and Demand and last start it defeated Firsthand impressively. Can they catch it this time?
Race 7 tip: Cabeza de Vaca to win ($2.70) at Neds.com.au
Race 8 – Starlight Stakes (1100m)
Glenall showed its true talents when winning last time out. The four-year-old entire defeated Tactical Advantage narrowly on the line and that performance holds it in good stead for the rest of this season. It has won twice at this distance and bookmakers are keeping it safe at $4.40.
Tactical Advantage gets its chance to turn the tables in Glenall here. The Joe Pride-trained gelding hasn’t won since May, but it has been knocking on the door since. Dropping in weight is only going to help and it just needs some luck from out wide.
Race 8 tip: Glenall to win ($4.40) at Neds.com.au
Race 9 – BM85 Handicap (1300m)
Best Guess has been in solid form this campaign, winning two of its four starts and placing in the others. The Waller-trained gelding scored easily by 2.3 lengths at Rosehill last start and punters will be hoping for more of the same here. Tricky draw, but consider the $3.40.
Powerline returned to the track last start after a year off and it did well. The Kris Lees-trained runner hadn’t run since November 2016, but it finished third after sitting wide throughout. This is a harder race, but that was a pleasing sign of things to come.
Race 9 tip: Powerline to place ($3.50) at Sportsbet.com.au