THE first major meet of the Australian summer kicks off on Friday night at Moonee Valley.
There’s plenty of great racing on this card, and we could see the next star of Australian racing emerge from a number of benchmark races towards the end of the night.
This is where the Valley comes into its own, so enjoy the warmer weather on track and use Horse Betting’s tips to win yourself some cash heading into the Christmas period.
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Race 1 – Australia Maiden Plate (1200m)
Considering has been an ultra-consistent type without breaking through, but the step up in distance could be ideal. The horse looks slightly one paced, but knows how to race, as evidenced by its 83 percent placing strikerate from six attempts. This race looks to be its best winning chance to date.
Global Sanction is a dual acceptor that has a perfect placing record from its two starts. On both occasions it has not been too far off the mark, going down by a combined two and a half lengths. This looms as an ideal race for the filly, which should not be in maiden grade for too much longer.
Race 1 tip: Global Sanction to win ($3.80 at Neds)
Race 2 – Benchmark 64 (1000m)
Sierradora is at a ridiculous price considering its last-start win on Dunkeld Cup day. Getting pushed along before the turn, the filly was driven hard to the line to withstand a challenge Duanette, which looks to be a handy type. The class rise will be significant but we like its placing prospects in an eight-runner field.
Magnesium Rose comes into the race fresh off a spell. Prior to being turned out the horse recorded a win off its very first start, winning comfortably over the 1000m distance. Confronting the same distance again will help and connections will be hoping that the horse’s natural progression will see it going on with the job here.
Race 2 tip: Sierradora to place at ($4.80 at Unibet)
Race 3 – Benchmark 78 (3000m)
Cheron Warrior is a Horse Betting favourite and after a consistent run of recent form we are expecting a step-up to the winner’s circle. Last time out over the same distance at the Valley the horse was just over half a length away from smart stayer Weave, which we believe is the perfect lead into this race.
I Carus is a runner that can surprise at odds. In a benchmark 68 race over 3224m race two weeks ago the five-year-old was far from disgraced, missing out by just over a head. In a somewhat weak field we believe the horse can run above its $34 quote at Crownbet.
Race 3 tip: Cheron Warrior to win ($4.60 at Sportsbet)
Race 4 – Benchmark 64 (1600m)
The aptly named Last Week experienced some of the worst luck you will ever see on November 22, but still managed to charge home and claim a narrow second behind Almighty. The mile distance looks ideal for the Weir runner and we think it wins this unless a similarly unlucky race unfolds.
Riverina Explorer is looking to make it three wins from four races. The horse is making its Moonee Valley debut on Friday, and if the form holds up it will be going very close to troubling Last Week.
Last Week is our best bet of the night going into Friday’s card.
Race 4 tip: Last Week to win ($2.90 at William Hill)
Race 5 – Ladbrokes 55 Second Challenge Benchmark 70 (955m)
Another edition of the Ladbrokes 55 Second Challenge series continues on Friday night and Bold Approach is the runner here we believe takes out the race. Placing across its last two starts at the sprint journey, the horse has also demolished its rivals across 900m barrier trails. From gate 6 if it gets a clean breakaway we believe it will be taking this one out.
Pravro is racing second-up on Friday where it has a great record of two wins from three attempts. The horse has attempted the 55 second challenge before, finishing second behind Liberty Song and the experience of that run could prove beneficial.
Race 5 tip: Bold Approach to win ($10 at Ladbrokes)
Race 6 – Benchmark 64 (2040m)
Highly rated colt Civil Disobedience opened at a big price at Crownbet. The Darren Weir-trained runner has missed the placings just once in its career, and finally broke the maiden on the 14th in a handy 3YO race. We are backing it to make the jump straight into benchmark company with aplomb.
Persian Empire is another horse that is jumping straight into benchmark company, but the scope of its breakthrough suggests it will take some beating on Friday. The stayer destroyed the field at Sale by over four lengths as an even-money favourite, and we see no reason to think that good form will not hold up.
Race 6 tip: Persian Empire to win ($4.80 at CrownBet)
Race 7 – Benchmark 70 (1200m)
You’ve Been Had is hunting a third-straight win from as many starts and it looks as good a chance as any to take the penultimate event out. The horse has won by a combined nine and a half lengths and there’s no reason to think it will not progress quickly through the grades.
You’ve Been Had is our next best bet of the Friday night Moonee Valley card.
Sheriff John Stone is the best chance at beating our elect. First-up it was brilliant at Ararat, winning over the 1100m distance by just shy of half a length. The horse now steps out to a distance where it has won before and at a point in the preparation where it is one win from two starts.
Race 7 tip: You’ve Been Had to win ($2.30 at Sportsbet)
Race 8 – Benchmark 64 (1200m)
Highly rated mare El Questro comes into the last race on the card off the back of a month’s freshen up, which should do wonders for the four-year-old. Prior to the let up the horse had been in sparkling form, registering two wins and two placings from four career starts.
Promising filly Emaan should set an early tempo that many of the runners in this field will find it hard to match. The daughter of Harbour Watch won well on November 11 at Geelong. We think the filly has a bright future ahead, but we are favouring El Questro’s experience advantage to be the difference in a great race to end the card.
Race 8 tip: El Questro to win ($6.50 at Neds)