THE Thursday quaddie this week heads to Sydney as Hawkesbury hosts an interesting eight race card.
Last week we started like a freight train at Pakenham last week before we were undone by a weak performance from a favoured runner in the third then a $26 winner at Crownbet in the final leg rubbed salt into the wounds.
We are backing a trip north to bring about a change of luck.
All odds this week were provided by Australia’s newest online bookmaker Neds, which is offering a matched first deposit bonus to new customers up to the value of $500 when they use the code GETON500.
Race five on the card is a maiden handicap over the 1300m distance, which kicks off the quaddie at 3.45pm.
Race 5 – Maiden Handicap (1300m)
Assioma comes into the race as a $2.45 favourite to win at the first time of asking for the Chris Waller stable. The trial form has been underwhelming for the filly, but the money has come early and any first-starter from the Waller camp needs to be respected.
Lucky Hada only missed out by half a length on debut at this track two weeks ago and is sure to improve on that running. The horse had been trialing sensationally before that and from barrier five the three-year-old will get the perfect opportunity to balance up and present at the right time.
The Happy Lady is one of the more seasoned runners in the race and has plenty of place form to draw upon. From its 14 starts, on four occasions the daughter of Oratorio has managed to find its way into the money. Sitting at the bottom end of the weights will help the horse immensely on Thursday.
Race 5 quaddie tips: 2, 7 and 13
Race 6 – Benchmark 68 (1600m)
Godolphin runner Popular is the deserved $2.60 favourite coming into this race. Winning well upon resumption two starts ago, the horse finished just over three lengths off the pace at benchmark 72 level at Rosehill a fortnight ago. Drops back in class here and in midweek grade, Popular looms as the runner to beat.
Dawn Dawn is one win from its solitary start and there is no reason to think it cannot remain undefeated. the three-year-old filly won convincingly at Newcastle at the start of the month and the daughter of All Too Hard will be looking to repeat the dose. Barrier one may pose a problem as the horse likes to get back in the run but in a potentially smaller field it might not prove an issue.
Tennessee Hussy we are throwing in at odds. The horse has a decent record of two wins and one placing from the distance, and while recent form has not been great, there was a stretch where the horse won or placed in four straight races. Do not discount the Husson mare at the $21 mark in this one.
Race 6 quaddie tips: 3, 4 and 7
Race 7 – Benchmark 67 (1400m)
In a wide open event the resuming Emperor’s Way looks to be a great betting option. The horse has never missed a place first-up and has found its way into the money twice across three attempts at the distance. Thursday will be the horse’s first run at Hawkesbury.
Richard Freedman runner Forever Dream is a consistent type that is never too far away from the mark. Although the horse has only won once from five career runs, the Dream Ahead gelding is always seeming to encounter trouble. The four-year-old should again jump close to favourite in this one.
Bezzina will be hoping to go back-to-back after recording its first-ever win on November 7 at Kembla. After a luckless run on a slow track the horse still managed to salute, highlighting a grit it had not showcased before. A sharp improvement from the son of Smart Missile is expected, which is currently a $5.50 hope.
Hurricane Harbour is a current $16 shot, but its chances are far better than the odds would suggest. Racing second-up where it has placed in the past, the four-year-old recorded dominant back-to-back wins at similar graded level back in July. The resuming run was disappointing but we are expecting a much better horse come Thursday.
Race 7 quaddie tips: 3, 6, 8 and 11
Race 8 – Benchmark 60 (2100m)
A win from First Courrier on Thursday would see the horse win three races from four starts. The win a fortnight ago at Goulburn as a short-priced favourite ticked all the boxes for us and we see no reason why the $4.80 shot on Thursday cannot do the business again.
The ultra-consistent Happy Partner will be hoping to maintain its great recent form. Placing in its last two starts this preparation, the top-weight will again run at a distance where it has missed a placing just once in its career. The horse looks ready to return to the winner’s circle.
Capeabeel looks well suited in this race. Having not missed a first four across its six runs this preparation, the mare has only been out of the place money once in that time frame. This will be the horse’s first attempt beyond 1850m, but recent runs suggest the additional ground will present no problems.
Race 8 quaddie tips: 1, 3 and 4