Cairns racing tips & value bets – Thursday, 25 June 2020

Cairns horse racing

Nine races are scheduled for Queensland’s far north on Thursday at Cairns. The track is currently rated a Soft 5, but clear skies are forecast and we can expect an upgrade on the day. The rail goes out 3m from the 1450m to the 325m, with a cutaway rail from the 325m marker to the winning post, and is in the true position for the remainder of the course. Race 1 will jump at 12:22pm AEST.

Thursday racing tips for Cairns

Best Bet
Race 5 – Cinnamon Missile @ $4 Bet365

John Manzelmann saddles up Cinnamon Missile in the fifth event on the program, which is a 1250m Benchmark 69. The 5yo gets in with 58.5kg and claims 3kg under apprentice jockey Marnu Potgieter, who is riding well since making the move north. He should land in a great spot midfield from barrier six and take a power of beating. Last start, the Smart Missile gelding ran fourth in a hotly contested Class 6, finishing just over a length from the winner over 1400m. Backing up after seven days and dropping in distance is a slight concern, but the race shapes to suit. It will be Cinnamon Missile’s first time around the Cairns track, but he should handle it no worries. If he brings his best southern form, he can win this on his way to a potential crack at the Winter Carnival feature sprints.

Next Best
Race 6 – Hard Yaga @ $7.50 Bet365

Having his fifth start in North Queensland for trainer Trevor Rowe is the talented Hard Yaga. He won by a cumulative margin of 9.3 lengths in his first two runs in NQ before crossing third and fifth at Townsville and Cairns respectively. The Publishing gelding has now had a month between runs and finds a suitable 950m dash that will suit his high cruising speed. He will need to carry 60kg, but senior rider Stephen Wilson should get him in a great spot on the speed from gate three. Ginger Beer and Oriental Girl are the main dangers, but their slightly awkward draws could make it hard for them in barriers nine and one respectively. Hard Yaga should get all the favours and be hard to beat.

Best Value
Race 9 – Red Phantom @ $5.50 Sportsbet

We highlighted Red Phantom as a value selection at Townsville three weeks ago, when he finished a disappointing eight of 12 over 2000m. He has since had another run where he was a much-improved and unlucky second by only half a length at the mile, so we are going to give him one more chance. He steps back up to 1900m in a race that has plenty of speed engaged, which will set it up well for him to finish over the top. From barrier 10, Graham Kliese will get back on the 5yo, bring him to the outside and hope to go one better than last time. The $5.50 isn’t huge value, but we are giving Red Phantom one more chance.

Quaddie Tips

R6. 3-4-5
R7. 3-6
R8. 1-3-5-7
R9. 1-4-5-6-10

Suggested quaddie – $120 for 100% Bet365